Bennie Thompson's long incumbency and the Mississippi 2nd District's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+11 or greater partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins, anchor trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Thompson secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary against two challengers and faces Republican nominee Ron Eller in the November general election. The district's majority-Black population centers in the Delta region have sustained Democratic performance despite periodic Republican redistricting efforts that have not altered boundaries ahead of this cycle. A commanding lead leaves limited room for shifts, though late developments such as health concerns for the incumbent, an unforeseen scandal, or successful court-ordered map changes before November could introduce volatility into the race.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMS-02 House Election Winner
MS-02 House Election Winner
$36,391 वॉल्यूम
$36,391 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
$36,391 वॉल्यूम
$36,391 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,374 वॉल्यूम
92%
Republican Party
$15,017 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson's long incumbency and the Mississippi 2nd District's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+11 or greater partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins, anchor trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Thompson secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary against two challengers and faces Republican nominee Ron Eller in the November general election. The district's majority-Black population centers in the Delta region have sustained Democratic performance despite periodic Republican redistricting efforts that have not altered boundaries ahead of this cycle. A commanding lead leaves limited room for shifts, though late developments such as health concerns for the incumbent, an unforeseen scandal, or successful court-ordered map changes before November could introduce volatility into the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$36,391समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson's long incumbency and the Mississippi 2nd District's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+11 or greater partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins, anchor trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Thompson secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary against two challengers and faces Republican nominee Ron Eller in the November general election. The district's majority-Black population centers in the Delta region have sustained Democratic performance despite periodic Republican redistricting efforts that have not altered boundaries ahead of this cycle. A commanding lead leaves limited room for shifts, though late developments such as health concerns for the incumbent, an unforeseen scandal, or successful court-ordered map changes before November could introduce volatility into the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$36,391समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bennie Thompson's long incumbency and the Mississippi 2nd District's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a D+11 or greater partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins, anchor trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Thompson secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary against two challengers and faces Republican nominee Ron Eller in the November general election. The district's majority-Black population centers in the Delta region have sustained Democratic performance despite periodic Republican redistricting efforts that have not altered boundaries ahead of this cycle. A commanding lead leaves limited room for shifts, though late developments such as health concerns for the incumbent, an unforeseen scandal, or successful court-ordered map changes before November could introduce volatility into the race.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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