Florida's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 77% for the 2026 general election on November 4. The seat, held by incumbent Jimmy Patronis following Matt Gaetz's departure, carries solid or safe Republican ratings from major forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Democratic candidate Gay Valimont faces structural challenges in a district with consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles. Primaries scheduled for August 18, with the filing deadline on June 12, have not produced notable shifts in positioning. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic momentum continue to anchor the implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाFL -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
FL -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$110,377 वॉल्यूम
$110,377 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
77%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
40%
$110,377 वॉल्यूम
$110,377 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$85,918 वॉल्यूम
77%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$24,459 वॉल्यूम
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 77% for the 2026 general election on November 4. The seat, held by incumbent Jimmy Patronis following Matt Gaetz's departure, carries solid or safe Republican ratings from major forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Democratic candidate Gay Valimont faces structural challenges in a district with consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles. Primaries scheduled for August 18, with the filing deadline on June 12, have not produced notable shifts in positioning. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic momentum continue to anchor the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$110,377समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 77% for the 2026 general election on November 4. The seat, held by incumbent Jimmy Patronis following Matt Gaetz's departure, carries solid or safe Republican ratings from major forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Democratic candidate Gay Valimont faces structural challenges in a district with consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles. Primaries scheduled for August 18, with the filing deadline on June 12, have not produced notable shifts in positioning. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic momentum continue to anchor the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$110,377समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 77% for the 2026 general election on November 4. The seat, held by incumbent Jimmy Patronis following Matt Gaetz's departure, carries solid or safe Republican ratings from major forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Democratic candidate Gay Valimont faces structural challenges in a district with consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles. Primaries scheduled for August 18, with the filing deadline on June 12, have not produced notable shifts in positioning. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Democratic momentum continue to anchor the implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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