Florida's 1st Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18 in the conservative Panhandle, drives trader consensus to 92.5% odds favoring the Republican Party in the November 2026 House election, anchored by incumbent Jimmy Patronis following his special election victory after Matt Gaetz's resignation. No major developments in the past 30 days have altered this positioning, though Democrat Gay Valimont's third campaign launch on March 13 highlighted ongoing but longshot Democratic efforts amid weak historical turnout in battleground terms. The April 24 filing deadline and August 18 primaries loom, but a Republican hold aligns with incumbency advantages and base rates for safe seats. Late challenges could arise from a divisive GOP primary, nominee scandal, or national midterm wave shifting swing state dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाFL -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
FL -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$87,755 वॉल्यूम
$87,755 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
93%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
7%
$87,755 वॉल्यूम
$87,755 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$69,030 वॉल्यूम
93%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$18,726 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 1st Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18 in the conservative Panhandle, drives trader consensus to 92.5% odds favoring the Republican Party in the November 2026 House election, anchored by incumbent Jimmy Patronis following his special election victory after Matt Gaetz's resignation. No major developments in the past 30 days have altered this positioning, though Democrat Gay Valimont's third campaign launch on March 13 highlighted ongoing but longshot Democratic efforts amid weak historical turnout in battleground terms. The April 24 filing deadline and August 18 primaries loom, but a Republican hold aligns with incumbency advantages and base rates for safe seats. Late challenges could arise from a divisive GOP primary, nominee scandal, or national midterm wave shifting swing state dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$87,755समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 1st Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18 in the conservative Panhandle, drives trader consensus to 92.5% odds favoring the Republican Party in the November 2026 House election, anchored by incumbent Jimmy Patronis following his special election victory after Matt Gaetz's resignation. No major developments in the past 30 days have altered this positioning, though Democrat Gay Valimont's third campaign launch on March 13 highlighted ongoing but longshot Democratic efforts amid weak historical turnout in battleground terms. The April 24 filing deadline and August 18 primaries loom, but a Republican hold aligns with incumbency advantages and base rates for safe seats. Late challenges could arise from a divisive GOP primary, nominee scandal, or national midterm wave shifting swing state dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$87,755समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 1st Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18 in the conservative Panhandle, drives trader consensus to 92.5% odds favoring the Republican Party in the November 2026 House election, anchored by incumbent Jimmy Patronis following his special election victory after Matt Gaetz's resignation. No major developments in the past 30 days have altered this positioning, though Democrat Gay Valimont's third campaign launch on March 13 highlighted ongoing but longshot Democratic efforts amid weak historical turnout in battleground terms. The April 24 filing deadline and August 18 primaries loom, but a Republican hold aligns with incumbency advantages and base rates for safe seats. Late challenges could arise from a divisive GOP primary, nominee scandal, or national midterm wave shifting swing state dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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