Hakeem Jeffries, the Democratic incumbent and House minority leader since 2023, holds a commanding lead in New York’s 8th congressional district, which encompasses heavily Democratic Brooklyn neighborhoods including Bedford-Stuyvesant, Brownsville, East New York, and Canarsie. Jeffries won reelection in 2024 with 75 percent of the vote, and the June 2026 Democratic primary produced no serious challenge while the Republican primary was canceled, leaving Lewis Mizrahi as the general-election opponent. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan registration advantages and historical margins that have exceeded 40 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 95 percent Democratic reflects these structural factors and the absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. A late scandal, health event, or national political realignment could still alter the outcome before the November 3, 2026 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY -08 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
NY -08 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$32,576 वॉल्यूम
$32,576 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
5%
$32,576 वॉल्यूम
$32,576 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$14,093 वॉल्यूम
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$18,483 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries, the Democratic incumbent and House minority leader since 2023, holds a commanding lead in New York’s 8th congressional district, which encompasses heavily Democratic Brooklyn neighborhoods including Bedford-Stuyvesant, Brownsville, East New York, and Canarsie. Jeffries won reelection in 2024 with 75 percent of the vote, and the June 2026 Democratic primary produced no serious challenge while the Republican primary was canceled, leaving Lewis Mizrahi as the general-election opponent. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan registration advantages and historical margins that have exceeded 40 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 95 percent Democratic reflects these structural factors and the absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. A late scandal, health event, or national political realignment could still alter the outcome before the November 3, 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$32,576समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries, the Democratic incumbent and House minority leader since 2023, holds a commanding lead in New York’s 8th congressional district, which encompasses heavily Democratic Brooklyn neighborhoods including Bedford-Stuyvesant, Brownsville, East New York, and Canarsie. Jeffries won reelection in 2024 with 75 percent of the vote, and the June 2026 Democratic primary produced no serious challenge while the Republican primary was canceled, leaving Lewis Mizrahi as the general-election opponent. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan registration advantages and historical margins that have exceeded 40 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 95 percent Democratic reflects these structural factors and the absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. A late scandal, health event, or national political realignment could still alter the outcome before the November 3, 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$32,576समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hakeem Jeffries, the Democratic incumbent and House minority leader since 2023, holds a commanding lead in New York’s 8th congressional district, which encompasses heavily Democratic Brooklyn neighborhoods including Bedford-Stuyvesant, Brownsville, East New York, and Canarsie. Jeffries won reelection in 2024 with 75 percent of the vote, and the June 2026 Democratic primary produced no serious challenge while the Republican primary was canceled, leaving Lewis Mizrahi as the general-election opponent. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan registration advantages and historical margins that have exceeded 40 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 95 percent Democratic reflects these structural factors and the absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. A late scandal, health event, or national political realignment could still alter the outcome before the November 3, 2026 general election.
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