Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party at 92.5% to retain NY-08, driven by the district's entrenched D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Hakeem Jeffries' formidable record as House Democratic Leader, including landslide victories in prior cycles with margins exceeding 30 points. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, with Jeffries active in district events and leadership duties amid stable national midterms outlook. The June 23, 2026, Democratic primary faces a long-shot challenge from NYC Councilman Chi Ossé, but general election odds reflect weak GOP recruitment and historical safe status. Upsets could stem from a surprise primary outcome weakening the nominee, late scandals, or a massive Republican national wave, though structural barriers remain high.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY -08 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
NY -08 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$18,043 वॉल्यूम
$18,043 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
7%
$18,043 वॉल्यूम
$18,043 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$10,508 वॉल्यूम
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$7,535 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party at 92.5% to retain NY-08, driven by the district's entrenched D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Hakeem Jeffries' formidable record as House Democratic Leader, including landslide victories in prior cycles with margins exceeding 30 points. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, with Jeffries active in district events and leadership duties amid stable national midterms outlook. The June 23, 2026, Democratic primary faces a long-shot challenge from NYC Councilman Chi Ossé, but general election odds reflect weak GOP recruitment and historical safe status. Upsets could stem from a surprise primary outcome weakening the nominee, late scandals, or a massive Republican national wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,043समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party at 92.5% to retain NY-08, driven by the district's entrenched D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Hakeem Jeffries' formidable record as House Democratic Leader, including landslide victories in prior cycles with margins exceeding 30 points. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, with Jeffries active in district events and leadership duties amid stable national midterms outlook. The June 23, 2026, Democratic primary faces a long-shot challenge from NYC Councilman Chi Ossé, but general election odds reflect weak GOP recruitment and historical safe status. Upsets could stem from a surprise primary outcome weakening the nominee, late scandals, or a massive Republican national wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$18,043समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party at 92.5% to retain NY-08, driven by the district's entrenched D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Hakeem Jeffries' formidable record as House Democratic Leader, including landslide victories in prior cycles with margins exceeding 30 points. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days, with Jeffries active in district events and leadership duties amid stable national midterms outlook. The June 23, 2026, Democratic primary faces a long-shot challenge from NYC Councilman Chi Ossé, but general election odds reflect weak GOP recruitment and historical safe status. Upsets could stem from a surprise primary outcome weakening the nominee, late scandals, or a massive Republican national wave, though structural barriers remain high.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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