Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko holds a commanding position in the NY-20 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 or greater partisan voting index and consistent past results favoring the party. As a long-serving representative with established name recognition and fundraising capacity, Tonko advanced unopposed through the canceled June 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican Ralph Ambrosio faces limited visibility in a low-competition environment. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome near 95 percent, consistent with historical patterns for safe seats of this type. A realistic shift could occur only through an unforeseen late development, such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political realignment within the remaining months before the November 3, 2026 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY -20 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
NY -20 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$34,940 वॉल्यूम
$34,940 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
4%
$34,940 वॉल्यूम
$34,940 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$16,177 वॉल्यूम
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$18,762 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko holds a commanding position in the NY-20 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 or greater partisan voting index and consistent past results favoring the party. As a long-serving representative with established name recognition and fundraising capacity, Tonko advanced unopposed through the canceled June 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican Ralph Ambrosio faces limited visibility in a low-competition environment. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome near 95 percent, consistent with historical patterns for safe seats of this type. A realistic shift could occur only through an unforeseen late development, such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political realignment within the remaining months before the November 3, 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$34,940समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko holds a commanding position in the NY-20 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 or greater partisan voting index and consistent past results favoring the party. As a long-serving representative with established name recognition and fundraising capacity, Tonko advanced unopposed through the canceled June 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican Ralph Ambrosio faces limited visibility in a low-competition environment. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome near 95 percent, consistent with historical patterns for safe seats of this type. A realistic shift could occur only through an unforeseen late development, such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political realignment within the remaining months before the November 3, 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$34,940समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko holds a commanding position in the NY-20 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 or greater partisan voting index and consistent past results favoring the party. As a long-serving representative with established name recognition and fundraising capacity, Tonko advanced unopposed through the canceled June 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican Ralph Ambrosio faces limited visibility in a low-competition environment. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome near 95 percent, consistent with historical patterns for safe seats of this type. A realistic shift could occur only through an unforeseen late development, such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political realignment within the remaining months before the November 3, 2026 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न