Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona’s 2nd congressional district, a seat rated Likely Republican by major forecasters due to its R+7 partisan voting index and the district’s rural and tribal makeup. Crane secured 54.5% in the 2024 rematch against Democratic nominee Jonathan Nez, a former Navajo Nation president who has emphasized outreach to Native American voters comprising roughly one-fifth of the electorate. Both candidates won their July 21, 2026 primaries without opposition, setting up a repeat contest on November 3. Limited post-primary polling shows Crane ahead by a few points, consistent with the district’s structural Republican tilt and historical midterm patterns for House incumbents. Trader pricing reflects these fundamentals while leaving room for shifts from fundraising trends or turnout dynamics among key voting blocs.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAZ-02 House Election Winner
AZ-02 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Republican Party
64%
Democratic Party
37%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$783 वॉल्यूम
64%
Democratic Party
$274 वॉल्यूम
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona’s 2nd congressional district, a seat rated Likely Republican by major forecasters due to its R+7 partisan voting index and the district’s rural and tribal makeup. Crane secured 54.5% in the 2024 rematch against Democratic nominee Jonathan Nez, a former Navajo Nation president who has emphasized outreach to Native American voters comprising roughly one-fifth of the electorate. Both candidates won their July 21, 2026 primaries without opposition, setting up a repeat contest on November 3. Limited post-primary polling shows Crane ahead by a few points, consistent with the district’s structural Republican tilt and historical midterm patterns for House incumbents. Trader pricing reflects these fundamentals while leaving room for shifts from fundraising trends or turnout dynamics among key voting blocs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,057समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona’s 2nd congressional district, a seat rated Likely Republican by major forecasters due to its R+7 partisan voting index and the district’s rural and tribal makeup. Crane secured 54.5% in the 2024 rematch against Democratic nominee Jonathan Nez, a former Navajo Nation president who has emphasized outreach to Native American voters comprising roughly one-fifth of the electorate. Both candidates won their July 21, 2026 primaries without opposition, setting up a repeat contest on November 3. Limited post-primary polling shows Crane ahead by a few points, consistent with the district’s structural Republican tilt and historical midterm patterns for House incumbents. Trader pricing reflects these fundamentals while leaving room for shifts from fundraising trends or turnout dynamics among key voting blocs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$1,057समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona’s 2nd congressional district, a seat rated Likely Republican by major forecasters due to its R+7 partisan voting index and the district’s rural and tribal makeup. Crane secured 54.5% in the 2024 rematch against Democratic nominee Jonathan Nez, a former Navajo Nation president who has emphasized outreach to Native American voters comprising roughly one-fifth of the electorate. Both candidates won their July 21, 2026 primaries without opposition, setting up a repeat contest on November 3. Limited post-primary polling shows Crane ahead by a few points, consistent with the district’s structural Republican tilt and historical midterm patterns for House incumbents. Trader pricing reflects these fundamentals while leaving room for shifts from fundraising trends or turnout dynamics among key voting blocs.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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