Arizona's 1st Congressional District features an open seat after Republican incumbent David Schweikert pursued the gubernatorial nomination, creating a competitive general election matchup between Democratic nominee Amish Shah and Republican nominee Jay Feely. The district's narrow partisan balance, evidenced by its R+1 Cook PVI and the prior cycle's 51.9%-48.1% Republican margin, positions it as a top target for Democratic gains. Recent statewide polling showing Democratic leads in Arizona down-ballot races, combined with race ratings classifying the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic from outlets like Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ, have shaped trader assessments. Shah's primary victory and prior name recognition in the Scottsdale-Phoenix suburbs area further support the current 75.5% implied probability for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAZ-01 House Election Winner
AZ-01 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
75%
Republican Party
26%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,615 वॉल्यूम
75%
Republican Party
$1,120 वॉल्यूम
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 1st Congressional District features an open seat after Republican incumbent David Schweikert pursued the gubernatorial nomination, creating a competitive general election matchup between Democratic nominee Amish Shah and Republican nominee Jay Feely. The district's narrow partisan balance, evidenced by its R+1 Cook PVI and the prior cycle's 51.9%-48.1% Republican margin, positions it as a top target for Democratic gains. Recent statewide polling showing Democratic leads in Arizona down-ballot races, combined with race ratings classifying the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic from outlets like Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ, have shaped trader assessments. Shah's primary victory and prior name recognition in the Scottsdale-Phoenix suburbs area further support the current 75.5% implied probability for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,736समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 1st Congressional District features an open seat after Republican incumbent David Schweikert pursued the gubernatorial nomination, creating a competitive general election matchup between Democratic nominee Amish Shah and Republican nominee Jay Feely. The district's narrow partisan balance, evidenced by its R+1 Cook PVI and the prior cycle's 51.9%-48.1% Republican margin, positions it as a top target for Democratic gains. Recent statewide polling showing Democratic leads in Arizona down-ballot races, combined with race ratings classifying the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic from outlets like Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ, have shaped trader assessments. Shah's primary victory and prior name recognition in the Scottsdale-Phoenix suburbs area further support the current 75.5% implied probability for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$6,736समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 1st Congressional District features an open seat after Republican incumbent David Schweikert pursued the gubernatorial nomination, creating a competitive general election matchup between Democratic nominee Amish Shah and Republican nominee Jay Feely. The district's narrow partisan balance, evidenced by its R+1 Cook PVI and the prior cycle's 51.9%-48.1% Republican margin, positions it as a top target for Democratic gains. Recent statewide polling showing Democratic leads in Arizona down-ballot races, combined with race ratings classifying the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic from outlets like Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ, have shaped trader assessments. Shah's primary victory and prior name recognition in the Scottsdale-Phoenix suburbs area further support the current 75.5% implied probability for Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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