**Democratic nominee Amish Shah holds a strong edge over Republican Jay Feely in the open AZ-01 race due to the district’s competitive profile and recent primary outcomes.** The northeastern Phoenix suburbs and Scottsdale-based seat carries an R+3 partisan voting index but has trended toward Democrats in recent cycles, with the prior Republican incumbent winning by narrow margins before opting to run for governor. Shah, a former state representative and emergency room physician, secured the Democratic nomination in the July 21 primary despite national party spending favoring a rival. Feely, a former NFL kicker backed by President Trump, won the Republican primary but enters the general election as a political newcomer in a district where suburban and independent voters have shown movement away from GOP candidates. Statewide polling showing Democratic advantages in top races, combined with the open-seat dynamic, has reinforced trader consensus that the race favors the Democrat heading into the November 3 general election. No major post-primary shifts have altered this positioning, though the contest remains sensitive to turnout among independents and suburban voters.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAZ-01 House Election Winner
AZ-01 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
76%
Republican Party
26%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,615 वॉल्यूम
76%
Republican Party
$1,195 वॉल्यूम
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Democratic nominee Amish Shah holds a strong edge over Republican Jay Feely in the open AZ-01 race due to the district’s competitive profile and recent primary outcomes.**
The northeastern Phoenix suburbs and Scottsdale-based seat carries an R+3 partisan voting index but has trended toward Democrats in recent cycles, with the prior Republican incumbent winning by narrow margins before opting to run for governor. Shah, a former state representative and emergency room physician, secured the Democratic nomination in the July 21 primary despite national party spending favoring a rival. Feely, a former NFL kicker backed by President Trump, won the Republican primary but enters the general election as a political newcomer in a district where suburban and independent voters have shown movement away from GOP candidates.
Statewide polling showing Democratic advantages in top races, combined with the open-seat dynamic, has reinforced trader consensus that the race favors the Democrat heading into the November 3 general election. No major post-primary shifts have altered this positioning, though the contest remains sensitive to turnout among independents and suburban voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,810समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Democratic nominee Amish Shah holds a strong edge over Republican Jay Feely in the open AZ-01 race due to the district’s competitive profile and recent primary outcomes.**
The northeastern Phoenix suburbs and Scottsdale-based seat carries an R+3 partisan voting index but has trended toward Democrats in recent cycles, with the prior Republican incumbent winning by narrow margins before opting to run for governor. Shah, a former state representative and emergency room physician, secured the Democratic nomination in the July 21 primary despite national party spending favoring a rival. Feely, a former NFL kicker backed by President Trump, won the Republican primary but enters the general election as a political newcomer in a district where suburban and independent voters have shown movement away from GOP candidates.
Statewide polling showing Democratic advantages in top races, combined with the open-seat dynamic, has reinforced trader consensus that the race favors the Democrat heading into the November 3 general election. No major post-primary shifts have altered this positioning, though the contest remains sensitive to turnout among independents and suburban voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$6,810समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Democratic nominee Amish Shah holds a strong edge over Republican Jay Feely in the open AZ-01 race due to the district’s competitive profile and recent primary outcomes.** The northeastern Phoenix suburbs and Scottsdale-based seat carries an R+3 partisan voting index but has trended toward Democrats in recent cycles, with the prior Republican incumbent winning by narrow margins before opting to run for governor. Shah, a former state representative and emergency room physician, secured the Democratic nomination in the July 21 primary despite national party spending favoring a rival. Feely, a former NFL kicker backed by President Trump, won the Republican primary but enters the general election as a political newcomer in a district where suburban and independent voters have shown movement away from GOP candidates. Statewide polling showing Democratic advantages in top races, combined with the open-seat dynamic, has reinforced trader consensus that the race favors the Democrat heading into the November 3 general election. No major post-primary shifts have altered this positioning, though the contest remains sensitive to turnout among independents and suburban voters.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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