Québec solidaire enters the October 5, 2026, election with 11 sitting MNAs, concentrated in Montreal strongholds such as Gouin, Mercier, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques where recent seat models project the party as safe or likely winners. Aggregated polling and riding-level forecasts from sources including 338Canada place QS on track for 3–11 seats despite a provincial vote share near 10 percent, reflecting efficient geographic concentration rather than broad support. This established base and limited volatility in urban ridings underpin the 95.5 percent implied probability that the party secures at least one seat. Late-campaign developments that could still shift outcomes include sharp turnout drops in core districts, unexpected gains by the Parti Québécois in toss-up ridings such as Taschereau or Hochelaga-Maisonneuve, or major polling realignments before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
96% संभावना
नया
नया
5 अक्टू, 2026
हाँ
96% संभावना
नया
नया
5 अक्टू, 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Québec solidaire enters the October 5, 2026, election with 11 sitting MNAs, concentrated in Montreal strongholds such as Gouin, Mercier, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques where recent seat models project the party as safe or likely winners. Aggregated polling and riding-level forecasts from sources including 338Canada place QS on track for 3–11 seats despite a provincial vote share near 10 percent, reflecting efficient geographic concentration rather than broad support. This established base and limited volatility in urban ridings underpin the 95.5 percent implied probability that the party secures at least one seat. Late-campaign developments that could still shift outcomes include sharp turnout drops in core districts, unexpected gains by the Parti Québécois in toss-up ridings such as Taschereau or Hochelaga-Maisonneuve, or major polling realignments before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$559समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Québec solidaire enters the October 5, 2026, election with 11 sitting MNAs, concentrated in Montreal strongholds such as Gouin, Mercier, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques where recent seat models project the party as safe or likely winners. Aggregated polling and riding-level forecasts from sources including 338Canada place QS on track for 3–11 seats despite a provincial vote share near 10 percent, reflecting efficient geographic concentration rather than broad support. This established base and limited volatility in urban ridings underpin the 95.5 percent implied probability that the party secures at least one seat. Late-campaign developments that could still shift outcomes include sharp turnout drops in core districts, unexpected gains by the Parti Québécois in toss-up ridings such as Taschereau or Hochelaga-Maisonneuve, or major polling realignments before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
वॉल्यूम
$559समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Québec solidaire enters the October 5, 2026, election with 11 sitting MNAs, concentrated in Montreal strongholds such as Gouin, Mercier, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques where recent seat models project the party as safe or likely winners. Aggregated polling and riding-level forecasts from sources including 338Canada place QS on track for 3–11 seats despite a provincial vote share near 10 percent, reflecting efficient geographic concentration rather than broad support. This established base and limited volatility in urban ridings underpin the 95.5 percent implied probability that the party secures at least one seat. Late-campaign developments that could still shift outcomes include sharp turnout drops in core districts, unexpected gains by the Parti Québécois in toss-up ridings such as Taschereau or Hochelaga-Maisonneuve, or major polling realignments before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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