Recent polls and seat projections ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show the Parti Québécois leading popular vote intentions at around 29 percent but projected to win roughly 44–49 seats in the 127-seat National Assembly, well short of the 64 needed for a majority. The CAQ under Christine Fréchette has gained ground in recent surveys, narrowing the race and drawing support from francophone voters concerned about economic pressures and U.S. trade relations, while the federalist vote remains split between the CAQ and Liberals. High undecided voter shares and the first-past-the-post system’s emphasis on riding-level dynamics further reduce the likelihood of a PQ majority despite its strength among francophones. Trader consensus on “No” at 80.5 percent reflects these consistent modeling outcomes rather than any single late development.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया22% संभावना
नया
नया
5 अक्टू, 2026
22% संभावना
नया
नया
5 अक्टू, 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls and seat projections ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show the Parti Québécois leading popular vote intentions at around 29 percent but projected to win roughly 44–49 seats in the 127-seat National Assembly, well short of the 64 needed for a majority. The CAQ under Christine Fréchette has gained ground in recent surveys, narrowing the race and drawing support from francophone voters concerned about economic pressures and U.S. trade relations, while the federalist vote remains split between the CAQ and Liberals. High undecided voter shares and the first-past-the-post system’s emphasis on riding-level dynamics further reduce the likelihood of a PQ majority despite its strength among francophones. Trader consensus on “No” at 80.5 percent reflects these consistent modeling outcomes rather than any single late development.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$910समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls and seat projections ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show the Parti Québécois leading popular vote intentions at around 29 percent but projected to win roughly 44–49 seats in the 127-seat National Assembly, well short of the 64 needed for a majority. The CAQ under Christine Fréchette has gained ground in recent surveys, narrowing the race and drawing support from francophone voters concerned about economic pressures and U.S. trade relations, while the federalist vote remains split between the CAQ and Liberals. High undecided voter shares and the first-past-the-post system’s emphasis on riding-level dynamics further reduce the likelihood of a PQ majority despite its strength among francophones. Trader consensus on “No” at 80.5 percent reflects these consistent modeling outcomes rather than any single late development.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti Québécois (PQ) wins at least 64 of the 127 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
वॉल्यूम
$910समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Recent polls and seat projections ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show the Parti Québécois leading popular vote intentions at around 29 percent but projected to win roughly 44–49 seats in the 127-seat National Assembly, well short of the 64 needed for a majority. The CAQ under Christine Fréchette has gained ground in recent surveys, narrowing the race and drawing support from francophone voters concerned about economic pressures and U.S. trade relations, while the federalist vote remains split between the CAQ and Liberals. High undecided voter shares and the first-past-the-post system’s emphasis on riding-level dynamics further reduce the likelihood of a PQ majority despite its strength among francophones. Trader consensus on “No” at 80.5 percent reflects these consistent modeling outcomes rather than any single late development.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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