Former Gov. Roy Cooper's consistent polling leads over RNC chair Michael Whatley have driven trader consensus to an 84% implied probability for a Democratic win in North Carolina's open U.S. Senate race. Post-March 3 primaries, recent surveys including Quantus Insights (April 2: Cooper 49%-44%) and Catawba College (March 31: 48%-34%) yield a +9.6% average Democratic edge among likely voters, bolstered by Cooper's strong name recognition from eight years as governor in this battleground state. Sen. Thom Tillis's June 2025 retirement announcement created the vacancy, removing incumbency advantage amid midterm dynamics. Tens of millions in ad spending signal intensity, with debates and voter turnout in swing areas as key upcoming factors before the November 3 election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$47,398 वॉल्यूम
$47,398 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेट
84%
रिपब्लिकन
14%
$47,398 वॉल्यूम
$47,398 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेट
$17,569 वॉल्यूम
84%
रिपब्लिकन
$29,829 वॉल्यूम
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former Gov. Roy Cooper's consistent polling leads over RNC chair Michael Whatley have driven trader consensus to an 84% implied probability for a Democratic win in North Carolina's open U.S. Senate race. Post-March 3 primaries, recent surveys including Quantus Insights (April 2: Cooper 49%-44%) and Catawba College (March 31: 48%-34%) yield a +9.6% average Democratic edge among likely voters, bolstered by Cooper's strong name recognition from eight years as governor in this battleground state. Sen. Thom Tillis's June 2025 retirement announcement created the vacancy, removing incumbency advantage amid midterm dynamics. Tens of millions in ad spending signal intensity, with debates and voter turnout in swing areas as key upcoming factors before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$47,398समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former Gov. Roy Cooper's consistent polling leads over RNC chair Michael Whatley have driven trader consensus to an 84% implied probability for a Democratic win in North Carolina's open U.S. Senate race. Post-March 3 primaries, recent surveys including Quantus Insights (April 2: Cooper 49%-44%) and Catawba College (March 31: 48%-34%) yield a +9.6% average Democratic edge among likely voters, bolstered by Cooper's strong name recognition from eight years as governor in this battleground state. Sen. Thom Tillis's June 2025 retirement announcement created the vacancy, removing incumbency advantage amid midterm dynamics. Tens of millions in ad spending signal intensity, with debates and voter turnout in swing areas as key upcoming factors before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$47,398समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Gov. Roy Cooper's consistent polling leads over RNC chair Michael Whatley have driven trader consensus to an 84% implied probability for a Democratic win in North Carolina's open U.S. Senate race. Post-March 3 primaries, recent surveys including Quantus Insights (April 2: Cooper 49%-44%) and Catawba College (March 31: 48%-34%) yield a +9.6% average Democratic edge among likely voters, bolstered by Cooper's strong name recognition from eight years as governor in this battleground state. Sen. Thom Tillis's June 2025 retirement announcement created the vacancy, removing incumbency advantage amid midterm dynamics. Tens of millions in ad spending signal intensity, with debates and voter turnout in swing areas as key upcoming factors before the November 3 election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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