Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 54.9% implied probability for Brazil Q1 2026 GDP growth of 1.9%–2.2% YoY, reflecting robust early-quarter data amid moderating momentum. January's IBC-Br economic activity index surged 0.8% month-on-month—its strongest in a year—while February industrial production rose 0.9% ahead of estimates, bolstering household spending and exports despite sticky inflation at 4.1% YoY in March. The 37.0% odds on 1.5%–1.8% capture downside from contracting manufacturing PMI (49.0 in March) and prior high Selic rates, now easing after Banco Central do Brasil's March rate-cut initiation. Central bank Focus survey holds 2026 full-year growth at 1.85%; IBGE Q1 release imminent as key catalyst.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाBrazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?
Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?
1.9%–2.2% 54.9%
1.5%–1.8% 34%
1.1%–1.4% 10.2%
<0.7% 3.7%
$17,245 वॉल्यूम
$17,245 वॉल्यूम
29 मई, 2026
<0.7%
4%
0.7%–1.0%
1%
1.1%–1.4%
10%
1.5%–1.8%
34%
1.9%–2.2%
55%
2.3%–2.6%
2%
≥2.7%
3%
1.9%–2.2% 54.9%
1.5%–1.8% 34%
1.1%–1.4% 10.2%
<0.7% 3.7%
$17,245 वॉल्यूम
$17,245 वॉल्यूम
29 मई, 2026
<0.7%
$13,717 वॉल्यूम
4%
0.7%–1.0%
$218 वॉल्यूम
1%
1.1%–1.4%
$273 वॉल्यूम
10%
1.5%–1.8%
$705 वॉल्यूम
34%
1.9%–2.2%
$559 वॉल्यूम
55%
2.3%–2.6%
$267 वॉल्यूम
2%
≥2.7%
$1,507 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year (GDP at market prices, %) in the 1st quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on May 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 54.9% implied probability for Brazil Q1 2026 GDP growth of 1.9%–2.2% YoY, reflecting robust early-quarter data amid moderating momentum. January's IBC-Br economic activity index surged 0.8% month-on-month—its strongest in a year—while February industrial production rose 0.9% ahead of estimates, bolstering household spending and exports despite sticky inflation at 4.1% YoY in March. The 37.0% odds on 1.5%–1.8% capture downside from contracting manufacturing PMI (49.0 in March) and prior high Selic rates, now easing after Banco Central do Brasil's March rate-cut initiation. Central bank Focus survey holds 2026 full-year growth at 1.85%; IBGE Q1 release imminent as key catalyst.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year (GDP at market prices, %) in the 1st quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on May 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 23, 2026, 7:16 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$17,245समाप्ति तिथि
29 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 23, 2026, 7:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year (GDP at market prices, %) in the 1st quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on May 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 54.9% implied probability for Brazil Q1 2026 GDP growth of 1.9%–2.2% YoY, reflecting robust early-quarter data amid moderating momentum. January's IBC-Br economic activity index surged 0.8% month-on-month—its strongest in a year—while February industrial production rose 0.9% ahead of estimates, bolstering household spending and exports despite sticky inflation at 4.1% YoY in March. The 37.0% odds on 1.5%–1.8% capture downside from contracting manufacturing PMI (49.0 in March) and prior high Selic rates, now easing after Banco Central do Brasil's March rate-cut initiation. Central bank Focus survey holds 2026 full-year growth at 1.85%; IBGE Q1 release imminent as key catalyst.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year (GDP at market prices, %) in the 1st quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on May 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
वॉल्यूम
$17,245समाप्ति तिथि
29 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 23, 2026, 7:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 54.9% implied probability for Brazil Q1 2026 GDP growth of 1.9%–2.2% YoY, reflecting robust early-quarter data amid moderating momentum. January's IBC-Br economic activity index surged 0.8% month-on-month—its strongest in a year—while February industrial production rose 0.9% ahead of estimates, bolstering household spending and exports despite sticky inflation at 4.1% YoY in March. The 37.0% odds on 1.5%–1.8% capture downside from contracting manufacturing PMI (49.0 in March) and prior high Selic rates, now easing after Banco Central do Brasil's March rate-cut initiation. Central bank Focus survey holds 2026 full-year growth at 1.85%; IBGE Q1 release imminent as key catalyst.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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