Canada's federal Immigration Levels Plan for 2026-2028 has sharply cut permanent resident targets to 380,000 while slashing temporary resident admissions, including international students and workers, to reduce their share of the population below 5 percent. Statistics Canada data confirm consecutive quarterly declines through early 2026, following the first annual drop of over 100,000 in 2025, driven by net outflows of non-permanent residents and lower inflows. These policy measures, sustained from prior adjustments, have produced the largest recorded quarterly contractions outside pandemic periods, positioning 2026 for another sizable annual decrease according to trader consensus reflected in the 83 percent implied probability for a record drop.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWill Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
नया
नया
30 अप्रैल, 2027
नया
नया
30 अप्रैल, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada's federal Immigration Levels Plan for 2026-2028 has sharply cut permanent resident targets to 380,000 while slashing temporary resident admissions, including international students and workers, to reduce their share of the population below 5 percent. Statistics Canada data confirm consecutive quarterly declines through early 2026, following the first annual drop of over 100,000 in 2025, driven by net outflows of non-permanent residents and lower inflows. These policy measures, sustained from prior adjustments, have produced the largest recorded quarterly contractions outside pandemic periods, positioning 2026 for another sizable annual decrease according to trader consensus reflected in the 83 percent implied probability for a record drop.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,813समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada's federal Immigration Levels Plan for 2026-2028 has sharply cut permanent resident targets to 380,000 while slashing temporary resident admissions, including international students and workers, to reduce their share of the population below 5 percent. Statistics Canada data confirm consecutive quarterly declines through early 2026, following the first annual drop of over 100,000 in 2025, driven by net outflows of non-permanent residents and lower inflows. These policy measures, sustained from prior adjustments, have produced the largest recorded quarterly contractions outside pandemic periods, positioning 2026 for another sizable annual decrease according to trader consensus reflected in the 83 percent implied probability for a record drop.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$1,813समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's federal Immigration Levels Plan for 2026-2028 has sharply cut permanent resident targets to 380,000 while slashing temporary resident admissions, including international students and workers, to reduce their share of the population below 5 percent. Statistics Canada data confirm consecutive quarterly declines through early 2026, following the first annual drop of over 100,000 in 2025, driven by net outflows of non-permanent residents and lower inflows. These policy measures, sustained from prior adjustments, have produced the largest recorded quarterly contractions outside pandemic periods, positioning 2026 for another sizable annual decrease according to trader consensus reflected in the 83 percent implied probability for a record drop.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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