Canada’s federal government has maintained restrictive immigration levels plans for 2025–2027 that sharply cut temporary resident inflows, including study and work permits, while accelerating departures of non-permanent residents to meet a target of under 5% of total population by end-2027. Statistics Canada data already recorded a 0.2% quarterly population contraction in Q3 2025—the largest since comparable records began in 1971—driven primarily by falling non-permanent resident counts. Parliamentary Budget Office projections show the non-permanent resident share continuing to decline through 2026, producing flat or negative overall population growth for the year as permanent resident targets also remain well below prior peaks. These policy settings, unchanged as of mid-2026, underpin trader expectations that the 2026 annual or quarterly drop will exceed any prior historical decline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWill Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
नया
नया
30 अप्रैल, 2027
नया
नया
30 अप्रैल, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada’s federal government has maintained restrictive immigration levels plans for 2025–2027 that sharply cut temporary resident inflows, including study and work permits, while accelerating departures of non-permanent residents to meet a target of under 5% of total population by end-2027. Statistics Canada data already recorded a 0.2% quarterly population contraction in Q3 2025—the largest since comparable records began in 1971—driven primarily by falling non-permanent resident counts. Parliamentary Budget Office projections show the non-permanent resident share continuing to decline through 2026, producing flat or negative overall population growth for the year as permanent resident targets also remain well below prior peaks. These policy settings, unchanged as of mid-2026, underpin trader expectations that the 2026 annual or quarterly drop will exceed any prior historical decline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,813समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada’s federal government has maintained restrictive immigration levels plans for 2025–2027 that sharply cut temporary resident inflows, including study and work permits, while accelerating departures of non-permanent residents to meet a target of under 5% of total population by end-2027. Statistics Canada data already recorded a 0.2% quarterly population contraction in Q3 2025—the largest since comparable records began in 1971—driven primarily by falling non-permanent resident counts. Parliamentary Budget Office projections show the non-permanent resident share continuing to decline through 2026, producing flat or negative overall population growth for the year as permanent resident targets also remain well below prior peaks. These policy settings, unchanged as of mid-2026, underpin trader expectations that the 2026 annual or quarterly drop will exceed any prior historical decline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$1,813समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada’s federal government has maintained restrictive immigration levels plans for 2025–2027 that sharply cut temporary resident inflows, including study and work permits, while accelerating departures of non-permanent residents to meet a target of under 5% of total population by end-2027. Statistics Canada data already recorded a 0.2% quarterly population contraction in Q3 2025—the largest since comparable records began in 1971—driven primarily by falling non-permanent resident counts. Parliamentary Budget Office projections show the non-permanent resident share continuing to decline through 2026, producing flat or negative overall population growth for the year as permanent resident targets also remain well below prior peaks. These policy settings, unchanged as of mid-2026, underpin trader expectations that the 2026 annual or quarterly drop will exceed any prior historical decline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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