Canada's 45th Parliament, formed after the April 28, 2025 federal election, produced another Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney. Minority status leaves the government dependent on opposition support to maintain confidence in the House of Commons, creating structural incentives for an earlier dissolution if legislative progress stalls or strategic polling improves. The next fixed-date election is scheduled no later than October 15, 2029, but the prime minister retains discretion to advise the governor general to dissolve Parliament sooner. As of mid-August 2026, no writs have been issued for a general election, though federal by-elections are set for August 31 in three ridings. Trader consensus assigns low probability to a general election call by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of immediate confidence threats or majority-seeking triggers.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$93,799 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
31 दिसंबर, 2026
6%
$93,799 वॉल्यूम
31 दिसंबर, 2026
$2,142 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada's 45th Parliament, formed after the April 28, 2025 federal election, produced another Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney. Minority status leaves the government dependent on opposition support to maintain confidence in the House of Commons, creating structural incentives for an earlier dissolution if legislative progress stalls or strategic polling improves. The next fixed-date election is scheduled no later than October 15, 2029, but the prime minister retains discretion to advise the governor general to dissolve Parliament sooner. As of mid-August 2026, no writs have been issued for a general election, though federal by-elections are set for August 31 in three ridings. Trader consensus assigns low probability to a general election call by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of immediate confidence threats or majority-seeking triggers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$93,799समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada's 45th Parliament, formed after the April 28, 2025 federal election, produced another Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney. Minority status leaves the government dependent on opposition support to maintain confidence in the House of Commons, creating structural incentives for an earlier dissolution if legislative progress stalls or strategic polling improves. The next fixed-date election is scheduled no later than October 15, 2029, but the prime minister retains discretion to advise the governor general to dissolve Parliament sooner. As of mid-August 2026, no writs have been issued for a general election, though federal by-elections are set for August 31 in three ridings. Trader consensus assigns low probability to a general election call by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of immediate confidence threats or majority-seeking triggers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$93,799समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's 45th Parliament, formed after the April 28, 2025 federal election, produced another Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney. Minority status leaves the government dependent on opposition support to maintain confidence in the House of Commons, creating structural incentives for an earlier dissolution if legislative progress stalls or strategic polling improves. The next fixed-date election is scheduled no later than October 15, 2029, but the prime minister retains discretion to advise the governor general to dissolve Parliament sooner. As of mid-August 2026, no writs have been issued for a general election, though federal by-elections are set for August 31 in three ridings. Trader consensus assigns low probability to a general election call by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of immediate confidence threats or majority-seeking triggers.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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