Canada's federal government reinforced tighter immigration controls through its 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, capping new temporary resident arrivals at 385,000 while holding permanent resident targets at 380,000 annually. This followed earlier reductions and aims to shrink the non-permanent resident share below 5% of the total population by late 2027. Official projections from the Parliamentary Budget Officer and Statistics Canada anticipate flat or modestly negative population growth for 2026, driven by net outflows of temporary workers and international students that offset permanent admissions and low natural increase. Data already recorded Canada's first annual population decline since Confederation in 2025, with continued quarterly outflows into 2026 amid housing and service pressures. These policy-driven shifts in net migration underpin trader consensus favoring a year-over-year decrease.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाUp
नया
नया
30 अप्रैल, 2027
Up
नया
नया
30 अप्रैल, 2027
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada's federal government reinforced tighter immigration controls through its 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, capping new temporary resident arrivals at 385,000 while holding permanent resident targets at 380,000 annually. This followed earlier reductions and aims to shrink the non-permanent resident share below 5% of the total population by late 2027. Official projections from the Parliamentary Budget Officer and Statistics Canada anticipate flat or modestly negative population growth for 2026, driven by net outflows of temporary workers and international students that offset permanent admissions and low natural increase. Data already recorded Canada's first annual population decline since Confederation in 2025, with continued quarterly outflows into 2026 amid housing and service pressures. These policy-driven shifts in net migration underpin trader consensus favoring a year-over-year decrease.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,546समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada's federal government reinforced tighter immigration controls through its 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, capping new temporary resident arrivals at 385,000 while holding permanent resident targets at 380,000 annually. This followed earlier reductions and aims to shrink the non-permanent resident share below 5% of the total population by late 2027. Official projections from the Parliamentary Budget Officer and Statistics Canada anticipate flat or modestly negative population growth for 2026, driven by net outflows of temporary workers and international students that offset permanent admissions and low natural increase. Data already recorded Canada's first annual population decline since Confederation in 2025, with continued quarterly outflows into 2026 amid housing and service pressures. These policy-driven shifts in net migration underpin trader consensus favoring a year-over-year decrease.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$1,546समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's federal government reinforced tighter immigration controls through its 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, capping new temporary resident arrivals at 385,000 while holding permanent resident targets at 380,000 annually. This followed earlier reductions and aims to shrink the non-permanent resident share below 5% of the total population by late 2027. Official projections from the Parliamentary Budget Officer and Statistics Canada anticipate flat or modestly negative population growth for 2026, driven by net outflows of temporary workers and international students that offset permanent admissions and low natural increase. Data already recorded Canada's first annual population decline since Confederation in 2025, with continued quarterly outflows into 2026 amid housing and service pressures. These policy-driven shifts in net migration underpin trader consensus favoring a year-over-year decrease.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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