Federal immigration policy changes, including the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, have sharply reduced targets for new temporary residents such as international students and workers while stabilizing permanent resident admissions near 380,000 annually. These measures aim to lower the non-permanent resident share of the population to 5 percent by year-end. Statistics Canada data confirm a 0.2 percent year-over-year decline as of January 1, 2026—the first such annual drop on record—driven by net outflows of temporary residents offsetting natural increase and permanent inflows. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicate flat overall population growth for 2026, consistent with trader consensus favoring a decline this year amid ongoing policy normalization.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाUp
Up
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Federal immigration policy changes, including the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, have sharply reduced targets for new temporary residents such as international students and workers while stabilizing permanent resident admissions near 380,000 annually. These measures aim to lower the non-permanent resident share of the population to 5 percent by year-end. Statistics Canada data confirm a 0.2 percent year-over-year decline as of January 1, 2026—the first such annual drop on record—driven by net outflows of temporary residents offsetting natural increase and permanent inflows. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicate flat overall population growth for 2026, consistent with trader consensus favoring a decline this year amid ongoing policy normalization.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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