Trader consensus slightly favors Canada's population rising from Q4 2025 to Q4 2026 per Statistics Canada quarterly estimates, with "Up" at 52.5%, reflecting a tight balance amid recent declines. The March 18 release revealed the first year-over-year drop since World War II, with January 1, 2026 population at 41,472,081 (-0.2% from October 1, 2025 and from prior January), driven by a 171,000 plunge in non-permanent residents from tightened study and work permits, plus negative natural increase. The 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan caps new temporary arrivals at 385,000 while steadying permanent residents at 380,000, fostering uncertainty over net migration. June's Q1 data could tip odds: further outflows bolster "Down," while stabilized inflows support "Up."
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाUp
नया
नया
30 अप्रैल, 2027
Up
नया
नया
30 अप्रैल, 2027
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus slightly favors Canada's population rising from Q4 2025 to Q4 2026 per Statistics Canada quarterly estimates, with "Up" at 52.5%, reflecting a tight balance amid recent declines. The March 18 release revealed the first year-over-year drop since World War II, with January 1, 2026 population at 41,472,081 (-0.2% from October 1, 2025 and from prior January), driven by a 171,000 plunge in non-permanent residents from tightened study and work permits, plus negative natural increase. The 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan caps new temporary arrivals at 385,000 while steadying permanent residents at 380,000, fostering uncertainty over net migration. June's Q1 data could tip odds: further outflows bolster "Down," while stabilized inflows support "Up."
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,413समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus slightly favors Canada's population rising from Q4 2025 to Q4 2026 per Statistics Canada quarterly estimates, with "Up" at 52.5%, reflecting a tight balance amid recent declines. The March 18 release revealed the first year-over-year drop since World War II, with January 1, 2026 population at 41,472,081 (-0.2% from October 1, 2025 and from prior January), driven by a 171,000 plunge in non-permanent residents from tightened study and work permits, plus negative natural increase. The 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan caps new temporary arrivals at 385,000 while steadying permanent residents at 380,000, fostering uncertainty over net migration. June's Q1 data could tip odds: further outflows bolster "Down," while stabilized inflows support "Up."
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$1,413समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus slightly favors Canada's population rising from Q4 2025 to Q4 2026 per Statistics Canada quarterly estimates, with "Up" at 52.5%, reflecting a tight balance amid recent declines. The March 18 release revealed the first year-over-year drop since World War II, with January 1, 2026 population at 41,472,081 (-0.2% from October 1, 2025 and from prior January), driven by a 171,000 plunge in non-permanent residents from tightened study and work permits, plus negative natural increase. The 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan caps new temporary arrivals at 385,000 while steadying permanent residents at 380,000, fostering uncertainty over net migration. June's Q1 data could tip odds: further outflows bolster "Down," while stabilized inflows support "Up."
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न