The Bureau of Economic Analysis' advance estimate released April 30, 2026, pegged U.S. real GDP growth at 2.0% annualized for Q1, spurring Polymarket traders to price 100% implied probability into the 2.0–2.5% outcome as the market resolves strictly to this figure. This marked rebound from Q4 2025's meager 0.5% expansion reflected gains across investment (boosted by AI-related equipment spending), exports, personal consumption expenditures, and government outlays, partially offset by rising imports; the print slightly trailed consensus forecasts near 2.3%. While historical revisions average under 0.5 percentage points, more complete data in May's second estimate could marginally adjust the trajectory, though unlikely to breach bin thresholds given component stability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाQ1 2026 में अमेरिकी सकल घरेलू उत्पाद की वृद्धि?
Q1 2026 में अमेरिकी सकल घरेलू उत्पाद की वृद्धि?
2.0–2.5% 100.0%
<1.0% <1%
1.0–1.5% <1%
1.5–2.0% <1%
$475,166 वॉल्यूम
$475,166 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
<1.0%
नहीं
1.0–1.5%
नहीं
1.5–2.0%
नहीं
2.0–2.5%
हाँ
2.5–3.0%
नहीं
3.0–3.5%
नहीं
≥3.5%
नहीं
2.0–2.5% 100.0%
<1.0% <1%
1.0–1.5% <1%
1.5–2.0% <1%
$475,166 वॉल्यूम
$475,166 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
<1.0%
$57,416 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
1.0–1.5%
$24,990 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
1.5–2.0%
$51,775 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
2.0–2.5%
$73,150 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
2.5–3.0%
$42,622 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
3.0–3.5%
$125,822 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
≥3.5%
$99,391 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.The Bureau of Economic Analysis' advance estimate released April 30, 2026, pegged U.S. real GDP growth at 2.0% annualized for Q1, spurring Polymarket traders to price 100% implied probability into the 2.0–2.5% outcome as the market resolves strictly to this figure. This marked rebound from Q4 2025's meager 0.5% expansion reflected gains across investment (boosted by AI-related equipment spending), exports, personal consumption expenditures, and government outlays, partially offset by rising imports; the print slightly trailed consensus forecasts near 2.3%. While historical revisions average under 0.5 percentage points, more complete data in May's second estimate could marginally adjust the trajectory, though unlikely to breach bin thresholds given component stability.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$475,166समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.The Bureau of Economic Analysis' advance estimate released April 30, 2026, pegged U.S. real GDP growth at 2.0% annualized for Q1, spurring Polymarket traders to price 100% implied probability into the 2.0–2.5% outcome as the market resolves strictly to this figure. This marked rebound from Q4 2025's meager 0.5% expansion reflected gains across investment (boosted by AI-related equipment spending), exports, personal consumption expenditures, and government outlays, partially offset by rising imports; the print slightly trailed consensus forecasts near 2.3%. While historical revisions average under 0.5 percentage points, more complete data in May's second estimate could marginally adjust the trajectory, though unlikely to breach bin thresholds given component stability.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
वॉल्यूम
$475,166समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
The Bureau of Economic Analysis' advance estimate released April 30, 2026, pegged U.S. real GDP growth at 2.0% annualized for Q1, spurring Polymarket traders to price 100% implied probability into the 2.0–2.5% outcome as the market resolves strictly to this figure. This marked rebound from Q4 2025's meager 0.5% expansion reflected gains across investment (boosted by AI-related equipment spending), exports, personal consumption expenditures, and government outlays, partially offset by rising imports; the print slightly trailed consensus forecasts near 2.3%. While historical revisions average under 0.5 percentage points, more complete data in May's second estimate could marginally adjust the trajectory, though unlikely to breach bin thresholds given component stability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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