Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices Mexico's Q1 2026 GDP growth in the 0.0-0.5% range at 100% implied probability, driven by INEGI's preliminary April 30 release showing a 0.1% year-over-year expansion amid a 0.8% quarter-over-quarter contraction—far below the 0.8% YoY consensus forecast. Weak January private consumption and investment declines, coupled with February's 0.3% annual IGAE drop, reflect cooling domestic demand, manufacturing softness, and U.S. trade policy uncertainties constraining nearshoring momentum after 2025's meager 0.8% full-year growth. Realistic challenges include upward revisions in INEGI's final Q2 data or stronger-than-expected services rebound, though fiscal constraints and Banxico's cautious 1.6% 2026 forecast limit upside risks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया0.0-0.5% 100.0%
<0.0% <1%
0.5-1.0% <1%
1.0-1.5% <1%
$6,917 वॉल्यूम
$6,917 वॉल्यूम
29 अप्रैल, 2026
<0.0%
No
0.0-0.5%
Yes
0.5-1.0%
No
1.0-1.5%
No
1.5-2.0%
No
2.0-2.5%
No
>2.5%
No
0.0-0.5% 100.0%
<0.0% <1%
0.5-1.0% <1%
1.0-1.5% <1%
$6,917 वॉल्यूम
$6,917 वॉल्यूम
29 अप्रैल, 2026
<0.0%
$877 वॉल्यूम
No
0.0-0.5%
$1,162 वॉल्यूम
Yes
0.5-1.0%
$997 वॉल्यूम
No
1.0-1.5%
$1,235 वॉल्यूम
No
1.5-2.0%
$1,320 वॉल्यूम
No
2.0-2.5%
$641 वॉल्यूम
No
>2.5%
$684 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices Mexico's Q1 2026 GDP growth in the 0.0-0.5% range at 100% implied probability, driven by INEGI's preliminary April 30 release showing a 0.1% year-over-year expansion amid a 0.8% quarter-over-quarter contraction—far below the 0.8% YoY consensus forecast. Weak January private consumption and investment declines, coupled with February's 0.3% annual IGAE drop, reflect cooling domestic demand, manufacturing softness, and U.S. trade policy uncertainties constraining nearshoring momentum after 2025's meager 0.8% full-year growth. Realistic challenges include upward revisions in INEGI's final Q2 data or stronger-than-expected services rebound, though fiscal constraints and Banxico's cautious 1.6% 2026 forecast limit upside risks.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 30, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,917समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 6:57 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices Mexico's Q1 2026 GDP growth in the 0.0-0.5% range at 100% implied probability, driven by INEGI's preliminary April 30 release showing a 0.1% year-over-year expansion amid a 0.8% quarter-over-quarter contraction—far below the 0.8% YoY consensus forecast. Weak January private consumption and investment declines, coupled with February's 0.3% annual IGAE drop, reflect cooling domestic demand, manufacturing softness, and U.S. trade policy uncertainties constraining nearshoring momentum after 2025's meager 0.8% full-year growth. Realistic challenges include upward revisions in INEGI's final Q2 data or stronger-than-expected services rebound, though fiscal constraints and Banxico's cautious 1.6% 2026 forecast limit upside risks.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$6,917समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 6:57 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices Mexico's Q1 2026 GDP growth in the 0.0-0.5% range at 100% implied probability, driven by INEGI's preliminary April 30 release showing a 0.1% year-over-year expansion amid a 0.8% quarter-over-quarter contraction—far below the 0.8% YoY consensus forecast. Weak January private consumption and investment declines, coupled with February's 0.3% annual IGAE drop, reflect cooling domestic demand, manufacturing softness, and U.S. trade policy uncertainties constraining nearshoring momentum after 2025's meager 0.8% full-year growth. Realistic challenges include upward revisions in INEGI's final Q2 data or stronger-than-expected services rebound, though fiscal constraints and Banxico's cautious 1.6% 2026 forecast limit upside risks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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