Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns nearly equal implied probabilities to 0.5-1.0% (30.5%) and 1.0-1.5% (32.0%) quarter-on-quarter GDP growth for Mexico's Q1 2026, reflecting closely contested sentiment amid mixed leading indicators. January's INEGI IGAE contracted 0.9% month-on-month seasonally adjusted, signaling a weak start with manufacturing output down 1.8%, though February saw industrial production rebound 0.4% month-on-month despite 1.3% year-on-year decline. Soft March PMIs—manufacturing at 48.9 and non-manufacturing at 49.0—highlight ongoing sector pressures offset by resilient private consumption. Banxico's 1.6% full-year 2026 forecast underpins modest expansion expectations, with INEGI's preliminary Q1 release around April 30 as the key swing factor.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1.0-1.5% 34%
0.5-1.0% 32%
<0.0% 8.4%
0.0-0.5% 8.1%
नया
नया
30 अप्रैल, 2026
<0.0%
8%
0.0-0.5%
18%
0.5-1.0%
32%
1.0-1.5%
32%
1.5-2.0%
1%
2.0-2.5%
9%
>2.5%
4%
1.0-1.5% 34%
0.5-1.0% 32%
<0.0% 8.4%
0.0-0.5% 8.1%
नया
नया
30 अप्रैल, 2026
<0.0%
$431 वॉल्यूम
8%
0.0-0.5%
$348 वॉल्यूम
18%
0.5-1.0%
$567 वॉल्यूम
32%
1.0-1.5%
$706 वॉल्यूम
32%
1.5-2.0%
$408 वॉल्यूम
1%
2.0-2.5%
$139 वॉल्यूम
9%
>2.5%
$147 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns nearly equal implied probabilities to 0.5-1.0% (30.5%) and 1.0-1.5% (32.0%) quarter-on-quarter GDP growth for Mexico's Q1 2026, reflecting closely contested sentiment amid mixed leading indicators. January's INEGI IGAE contracted 0.9% month-on-month seasonally adjusted, signaling a weak start with manufacturing output down 1.8%, though February saw industrial production rebound 0.4% month-on-month despite 1.3% year-on-year decline. Soft March PMIs—manufacturing at 48.9 and non-manufacturing at 49.0—highlight ongoing sector pressures offset by resilient private consumption. Banxico's 1.6% full-year 2026 forecast underpins modest expansion expectations, with INEGI's preliminary Q1 release around April 30 as the key swing factor.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 30, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,745समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns nearly equal implied probabilities to 0.5-1.0% (30.5%) and 1.0-1.5% (32.0%) quarter-on-quarter GDP growth for Mexico's Q1 2026, reflecting closely contested sentiment amid mixed leading indicators. January's INEGI IGAE contracted 0.9% month-on-month seasonally adjusted, signaling a weak start with manufacturing output down 1.8%, though February saw industrial production rebound 0.4% month-on-month despite 1.3% year-on-year decline. Soft March PMIs—manufacturing at 48.9 and non-manufacturing at 49.0—highlight ongoing sector pressures offset by resilient private consumption. Banxico's 1.6% full-year 2026 forecast underpins modest expansion expectations, with INEGI's preliminary Q1 release around April 30 as the key swing factor.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on April 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$2,745समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns nearly equal implied probabilities to 0.5-1.0% (30.5%) and 1.0-1.5% (32.0%) quarter-on-quarter GDP growth for Mexico's Q1 2026, reflecting closely contested sentiment amid mixed leading indicators. January's INEGI IGAE contracted 0.9% month-on-month seasonally adjusted, signaling a weak start with manufacturing output down 1.8%, though February saw industrial production rebound 0.4% month-on-month despite 1.3% year-on-year decline. Soft March PMIs—manufacturing at 48.9 and non-manufacturing at 49.0—highlight ongoing sector pressures offset by resilient private consumption. Banxico's 1.6% full-year 2026 forecast underpins modest expansion expectations, with INEGI's preliminary Q1 release around April 30 as the key swing factor.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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