Strong trader consensus for no change at the July 28-29 FOMC meeting reflects persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market. May 2026 CPI rose 0.5% month-over-month and 4.2% year-over-year—the highest since 2023—driven by energy costs amid geopolitical tensions, while the unemployment rate held at 4.3% alongside solid job gains. With the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%, futures and prediction markets price limited scope for a 25-basis-point move in either direction before fresh data arrives. The June 16-17 meeting and July 14 CPI release could still shift implied odds if inflation moderates faster than expected or if labor data weakens materially.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकोई बदलाव नहीं 95%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि 2.7%
25 बीपीएस की कमी 2.1%
50+ बीपीएस की कटौती 1.0%
$10,107,804 वॉल्यूम
$10,107,804 वॉल्यूम
29 जुल, 2026
50+ बीपीएस की कटौती
1%
25 बीपीएस की कमी
2%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
95%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि
3%
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट वृद्धि
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 95%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि 2.7%
25 बीपीएस की कमी 2.1%
50+ बीपीएस की कटौती 1.0%
$10,107,804 वॉल्यूम
$10,107,804 वॉल्यूम
29 जुल, 2026
50+ बीपीएस की कटौती
$1,511,664 वॉल्यूम
1%
25 बीपीएस की कमी
$1,136,050 वॉल्यूम
2%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$1,703,499 वॉल्यूम
95%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि
$4,169,179 वॉल्यूम
3%
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट वृद्धि
$1,587,591 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Strong trader consensus for no change at the July 28-29 FOMC meeting reflects persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market. May 2026 CPI rose 0.5% month-over-month and 4.2% year-over-year—the highest since 2023—driven by energy costs amid geopolitical tensions, while the unemployment rate held at 4.3% alongside solid job gains. With the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%, futures and prediction markets price limited scope for a 25-basis-point move in either direction before fresh data arrives. The June 16-17 meeting and July 14 CPI release could still shift implied odds if inflation moderates faster than expected or if labor data weakens materially.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,107,804समाप्ति तिथि
29 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Strong trader consensus for no change at the July 28-29 FOMC meeting reflects persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market. May 2026 CPI rose 0.5% month-over-month and 4.2% year-over-year—the highest since 2023—driven by energy costs amid geopolitical tensions, while the unemployment rate held at 4.3% alongside solid job gains. With the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%, futures and prediction markets price limited scope for a 25-basis-point move in either direction before fresh data arrives. The June 16-17 meeting and July 14 CPI release could still shift implied odds if inflation moderates faster than expected or if labor data weakens materially.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$10,107,804समाप्ति तिथि
29 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong trader consensus for no change at the July 28-29 FOMC meeting reflects persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market. May 2026 CPI rose 0.5% month-over-month and 4.2% year-over-year—the highest since 2023—driven by energy costs amid geopolitical tensions, while the unemployment rate held at 4.3% alongside solid job gains. With the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%, futures and prediction markets price limited scope for a 25-basis-point move in either direction before fresh data arrives. The June 16-17 meeting and July 14 CPI release could still shift implied odds if inflation moderates faster than expected or if labor data weakens materially.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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