Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 78% implied probability for the Federal Open Market Committee to pause interest rates across its April 28-29, June 16-17, and July 28-29, 2026 meetings, reflecting resilient U.S. economic data diminishing near-term cut expectations amid the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%. March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from February's 2.4% on energy spikes—while core PCE held elevated at 3.1%, exceeding the Fed's 2% target; March nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs with unemployment dipping to 4.3%, signaling labor market strength. March FOMC projections foresaw just one 2026 cut overall, reinforced by Chair Powell's remarks on firm footing and data dependence. CME FedWatch and Kalshi align with April pause odds above 97%, though April CPI and jobs data ahead of the June meeting could sway sentiment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPause–Pause–Pause 79%
Pause–Pause–Cut 11%
Other 10%
Pause–Cut–Cut 3.1%
नया
नया
29 जुल, 2026
Cut–Pause–Pause
<1%
Cut–Pause–Cut
1%
Cut–Cut–Pause
1%
Cut–Cut–Cut
1%
Pause–Pause–Pause
79%
Pause–Pause–Cut
11%
Pause–Cut–Pause
2%
Pause–Cut–Cut
3%
Other
10%
Pause–Pause–Pause 79%
Pause–Pause–Cut 11%
Other 10%
Pause–Cut–Cut 3.1%
नया
नया
29 जुल, 2026
Cut–Pause–Pause
$819 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Cut–Pause–Cut
$666 वॉल्यूम
1%
Cut–Cut–Pause
$720 वॉल्यूम
1%
Cut–Cut–Cut
$746 वॉल्यूम
1%
Pause–Pause–Pause
$1,287 वॉल्यूम
79%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$926 वॉल्यूम
11%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$535 वॉल्यूम
2%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$729 वॉल्यूम
3%
Other
$896 वॉल्यूम
10%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTrader consensus on Polymarket prices an 78% implied probability for the Federal Open Market Committee to pause interest rates across its April 28-29, June 16-17, and July 28-29, 2026 meetings, reflecting resilient U.S. economic data diminishing near-term cut expectations amid the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%. March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from February's 2.4% on energy spikes—while core PCE held elevated at 3.1%, exceeding the Fed's 2% target; March nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs with unemployment dipping to 4.3%, signaling labor market strength. March FOMC projections foresaw just one 2026 cut overall, reinforced by Chair Powell's remarks on firm footing and data dependence. CME FedWatch and Kalshi align with April pause odds above 97%, though April CPI and jobs data ahead of the June meeting could sway sentiment.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,324समाप्ति तिथि
29 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTrader consensus on Polymarket prices an 78% implied probability for the Federal Open Market Committee to pause interest rates across its April 28-29, June 16-17, and July 28-29, 2026 meetings, reflecting resilient U.S. economic data diminishing near-term cut expectations amid the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%. March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from February's 2.4% on energy spikes—while core PCE held elevated at 3.1%, exceeding the Fed's 2% target; March nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs with unemployment dipping to 4.3%, signaling labor market strength. March FOMC projections foresaw just one 2026 cut overall, reinforced by Chair Powell's remarks on firm footing and data dependence. CME FedWatch and Kalshi align with April pause odds above 97%, though April CPI and jobs data ahead of the June meeting could sway sentiment.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$7,324समाप्ति तिथि
29 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 78% implied probability for the Federal Open Market Committee to pause interest rates across its April 28-29, June 16-17, and July 28-29, 2026 meetings, reflecting resilient U.S. economic data diminishing near-term cut expectations amid the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%. March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from February's 2.4% on energy spikes—while core PCE held elevated at 3.1%, exceeding the Fed's 2% target; March nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs with unemployment dipping to 4.3%, signaling labor market strength. March FOMC projections foresaw just one 2026 cut overall, reinforced by Chair Powell's remarks on firm footing and data dependence. CME FedWatch and Kalshi align with April pause odds above 97%, though April CPI and jobs data ahead of the June meeting could sway sentiment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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