Persistent inflation, with May 2026 CPI rising 4.2% year-over-year amid energy price surges tied to Middle East tensions, anchors trader expectations for the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate steady at its April, June, and July meetings. The April pause at 3.50%-3.75%, accompanied by notable dissent, reinforced a cautious stance, while futures markets and recent data revisions have shifted focus away from near-term easing toward potential later hikes. With the June 16-17 decision just days away and incoming Chair transition adding uncertainty, the 92.5% market-implied odds on three consecutive pauses reflect capital-weighted consensus on sticky price pressures and resilient labor conditions. A sharp inflation cooldown or pronounced jobs weakness could still alter the path.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPause–Pause–Pause 92%
Other 5.1%
Pause–Pause–Cut 1.8%
Pause–Cut–Pause 1.4%
$54,334 वॉल्यूम
$54,334 वॉल्यूम
29 जुल, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
92%
Pause–Pause–Cut
2%
Pause–Cut–Pause
1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
<1%
Other
5%
Pause–Pause–Pause 92%
Other 5.1%
Pause–Pause–Cut 1.8%
Pause–Cut–Pause 1.4%
$54,334 वॉल्यूम
$54,334 वॉल्यूम
29 जुल, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
$4,885 वॉल्यूम
92%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$2,918 वॉल्यूम
2%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$2,632 वॉल्यूम
1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$1,937 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Other
$1,977 वॉल्यूम
5%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmPersistent inflation, with May 2026 CPI rising 4.2% year-over-year amid energy price surges tied to Middle East tensions, anchors trader expectations for the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate steady at its April, June, and July meetings. The April pause at 3.50%-3.75%, accompanied by notable dissent, reinforced a cautious stance, while futures markets and recent data revisions have shifted focus away from near-term easing toward potential later hikes. With the June 16-17 decision just days away and incoming Chair transition adding uncertainty, the 92.5% market-implied odds on three consecutive pauses reflect capital-weighted consensus on sticky price pressures and resilient labor conditions. A sharp inflation cooldown or pronounced jobs weakness could still alter the path.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$54,334समाप्ति तिथि
29 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmPersistent inflation, with May 2026 CPI rising 4.2% year-over-year amid energy price surges tied to Middle East tensions, anchors trader expectations for the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate steady at its April, June, and July meetings. The April pause at 3.50%-3.75%, accompanied by notable dissent, reinforced a cautious stance, while futures markets and recent data revisions have shifted focus away from near-term easing toward potential later hikes. With the June 16-17 decision just days away and incoming Chair transition adding uncertainty, the 92.5% market-implied odds on three consecutive pauses reflect capital-weighted consensus on sticky price pressures and resilient labor conditions. A sharp inflation cooldown or pronounced jobs weakness could still alter the path.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$54,334समाप्ति तिथि
29 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation, with May 2026 CPI rising 4.2% year-over-year amid energy price surges tied to Middle East tensions, anchors trader expectations for the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate steady at its April, June, and July meetings. The April pause at 3.50%-3.75%, accompanied by notable dissent, reinforced a cautious stance, while futures markets and recent data revisions have shifted focus away from near-term easing toward potential later hikes. With the June 16-17 decision just days away and incoming Chair transition adding uncertainty, the 92.5% market-implied odds on three consecutive pauses reflect capital-weighted consensus on sticky price pressures and resilient labor conditions. A sharp inflation cooldown or pronounced jobs weakness could still alter the path.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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