Persistent inflation readings above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target, including April headline CPI at 3.8 percent year-over-year, alongside a resilient labor market with May nonfarm payrolls rising 172,000 and unemployment at 4.3 percent, have anchored market-implied odds for a Pause–Pause–Pause outcome across the April, June, and July FOMC meetings at 93.5 percent. Traders interpret recent communications and the April 29 hold decision as signaling a data-dependent stance that favors maintaining the 3.50–3.75 percent federal funds target range absent clearer progress toward price stability. The June 16–17 meeting, featuring updated economic projections, and the May CPI release represent the primary near-term catalysts that could alter these probabilities if inflation moderates faster than anticipated or labor-market indicators deteriorate sharply.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPause–Pause–Pause 93%
Other 4.3%
Pause–Pause–Cut 2.7%
Pause–Cut–Pause 1.9%
$54,211 वॉल्यूम
$54,211 वॉल्यूम
29 जुल, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
93%
Pause–Pause–Cut
3%
Pause–Cut–Pause
2%
Pause–Cut–Cut
1%
Other
4%
Pause–Pause–Pause 93%
Other 4.3%
Pause–Pause–Cut 2.7%
Pause–Cut–Pause 1.9%
$54,211 वॉल्यूम
$54,211 वॉल्यूम
29 जुल, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
$4,820 वॉल्यूम
93%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$2,918 वॉल्यूम
3%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$2,623 वॉल्यूम
2%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$1,888 वॉल्यूम
1%
Other
$1,977 वॉल्यूम
4%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmPersistent inflation readings above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target, including April headline CPI at 3.8 percent year-over-year, alongside a resilient labor market with May nonfarm payrolls rising 172,000 and unemployment at 4.3 percent, have anchored market-implied odds for a Pause–Pause–Pause outcome across the April, June, and July FOMC meetings at 93.5 percent. Traders interpret recent communications and the April 29 hold decision as signaling a data-dependent stance that favors maintaining the 3.50–3.75 percent federal funds target range absent clearer progress toward price stability. The June 16–17 meeting, featuring updated economic projections, and the May CPI release represent the primary near-term catalysts that could alter these probabilities if inflation moderates faster than anticipated or labor-market indicators deteriorate sharply.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$54,211समाप्ति तिथि
29 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmPersistent inflation readings above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target, including April headline CPI at 3.8 percent year-over-year, alongside a resilient labor market with May nonfarm payrolls rising 172,000 and unemployment at 4.3 percent, have anchored market-implied odds for a Pause–Pause–Pause outcome across the April, June, and July FOMC meetings at 93.5 percent. Traders interpret recent communications and the April 29 hold decision as signaling a data-dependent stance that favors maintaining the 3.50–3.75 percent federal funds target range absent clearer progress toward price stability. The June 16–17 meeting, featuring updated economic projections, and the May CPI release represent the primary near-term catalysts that could alter these probabilities if inflation moderates faster than anticipated or labor-market indicators deteriorate sharply.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$54,211समाप्ति तिथि
29 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation readings above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target, including April headline CPI at 3.8 percent year-over-year, alongside a resilient labor market with May nonfarm payrolls rising 172,000 and unemployment at 4.3 percent, have anchored market-implied odds for a Pause–Pause–Pause outcome across the April, June, and July FOMC meetings at 93.5 percent. Traders interpret recent communications and the April 29 hold decision as signaling a data-dependent stance that favors maintaining the 3.50–3.75 percent federal funds target range absent clearer progress toward price stability. The June 16–17 meeting, featuring updated economic projections, and the May CPI release represent the primary near-term catalysts that could alter these probabilities if inflation moderates faster than anticipated or labor-market indicators deteriorate sharply.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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