Traders have priced Pause–Pause–Pause at a 93% implied probability for the April, June, and July 2026 FOMC meetings because April inflation readings remained elevated—with headline CPI near 3.8% year-over-year and core at 2.8%—while the labor market showed resilience through May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000 and a 4.3% unemployment rate. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50–3.75% in April for the third consecutive meeting, citing these conditions alongside Middle East-related uncertainty in its statement and minutes. Market pricing now embeds limited scope for near-term easing, consistent with the latest dot-plot median projecting only one cut for 2026. The May CPI release due June 10 and the June 16–17 FOMC meeting, which includes updated economic projections, represent the next data points that could alter the path if they signal faster disinflation or labor-market softening.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPause–Pause–Pause 93%
Other 4.8%
Pause–Cut–Pause 2.9%
Pause–Pause–Cut 1.9%
$54,211 वॉल्यूम
$54,211 वॉल्यूम
29 जुल, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
93%
Pause–Pause–Cut
2%
Pause–Cut–Pause
3%
Pause–Cut–Cut
1%
Other
5%
Pause–Pause–Pause 93%
Other 4.8%
Pause–Cut–Pause 2.9%
Pause–Pause–Cut 1.9%
$54,211 वॉल्यूम
$54,211 वॉल्यूम
29 जुल, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
$4,820 वॉल्यूम
93%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$2,918 वॉल्यूम
2%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$2,623 वॉल्यूम
3%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$1,888 वॉल्यूम
1%
Other
$1,977 वॉल्यूम
5%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTraders have priced Pause–Pause–Pause at a 93% implied probability for the April, June, and July 2026 FOMC meetings because April inflation readings remained elevated—with headline CPI near 3.8% year-over-year and core at 2.8%—while the labor market showed resilience through May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000 and a 4.3% unemployment rate. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50–3.75% in April for the third consecutive meeting, citing these conditions alongside Middle East-related uncertainty in its statement and minutes. Market pricing now embeds limited scope for near-term easing, consistent with the latest dot-plot median projecting only one cut for 2026. The May CPI release due June 10 and the June 16–17 FOMC meeting, which includes updated economic projections, represent the next data points that could alter the path if they signal faster disinflation or labor-market softening.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$54,211समाप्ति तिथि
29 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTraders have priced Pause–Pause–Pause at a 93% implied probability for the April, June, and July 2026 FOMC meetings because April inflation readings remained elevated—with headline CPI near 3.8% year-over-year and core at 2.8%—while the labor market showed resilience through May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000 and a 4.3% unemployment rate. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50–3.75% in April for the third consecutive meeting, citing these conditions alongside Middle East-related uncertainty in its statement and minutes. Market pricing now embeds limited scope for near-term easing, consistent with the latest dot-plot median projecting only one cut for 2026. The May CPI release due June 10 and the June 16–17 FOMC meeting, which includes updated economic projections, represent the next data points that could alter the path if they signal faster disinflation or labor-market softening.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$54,211समाप्ति तिथि
29 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have priced Pause–Pause–Pause at a 93% implied probability for the April, June, and July 2026 FOMC meetings because April inflation readings remained elevated—with headline CPI near 3.8% year-over-year and core at 2.8%—while the labor market showed resilience through May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000 and a 4.3% unemployment rate. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50–3.75% in April for the third consecutive meeting, citing these conditions alongside Middle East-related uncertainty in its statement and minutes. Market pricing now embeds limited scope for near-term easing, consistent with the latest dot-plot median projecting only one cut for 2026. The May CPI release due June 10 and the June 16–17 FOMC meeting, which includes updated economic projections, represent the next data points that could alter the path if they signal faster disinflation or labor-market softening.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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