Persistent inflationary pressures from Middle East energy shocks have anchored the Federal Open Market Committee’s monetary policy stance, driving the 92.5% market-implied probability of a Pause–Pause–Pause outcome across the April, June, and July 2026 meetings. With the federal funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75% after the April decision and futures markets showing negligible odds of near-term adjustments, traders cite well-anchored longer-term inflation expectations alongside a stable labor market as key supports for the current pause. This consensus reflects the Fed’s data-dependent approach amid elevated CPI readings. A sharper-than-expected disinflation trajectory or material softening in growth indicators could still prompt a shift toward cuts at the June or July meetings.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPause–Pause–Pause 93%
Other 5.3%
Pause–Pause–Cut 2.6%
Pause–Cut–Pause 2.3%
$54,200 वॉल्यूम
$54,200 वॉल्यूम
29 जुल, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
93%
Pause–Pause–Cut
3%
Pause–Cut–Pause
2%
Pause–Cut–Cut
<1%
Other
5%
Pause–Pause–Pause 93%
Other 5.3%
Pause–Pause–Cut 2.6%
Pause–Cut–Pause 2.3%
$54,200 वॉल्यूम
$54,200 वॉल्यूम
29 जुल, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
$4,808 वॉल्यूम
93%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$2,918 वॉल्यूम
3%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$2,623 वॉल्यूम
2%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$1,888 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Other
$1,977 वॉल्यूम
5%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmPersistent inflationary pressures from Middle East energy shocks have anchored the Federal Open Market Committee’s monetary policy stance, driving the 92.5% market-implied probability of a Pause–Pause–Pause outcome across the April, June, and July 2026 meetings. With the federal funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75% after the April decision and futures markets showing negligible odds of near-term adjustments, traders cite well-anchored longer-term inflation expectations alongside a stable labor market as key supports for the current pause. This consensus reflects the Fed’s data-dependent approach amid elevated CPI readings. A sharper-than-expected disinflation trajectory or material softening in growth indicators could still prompt a shift toward cuts at the June or July meetings.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$54,200समाप्ति तिथि
29 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmPersistent inflationary pressures from Middle East energy shocks have anchored the Federal Open Market Committee’s monetary policy stance, driving the 92.5% market-implied probability of a Pause–Pause–Pause outcome across the April, June, and July 2026 meetings. With the federal funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75% after the April decision and futures markets showing negligible odds of near-term adjustments, traders cite well-anchored longer-term inflation expectations alongside a stable labor market as key supports for the current pause. This consensus reflects the Fed’s data-dependent approach amid elevated CPI readings. A sharper-than-expected disinflation trajectory or material softening in growth indicators could still prompt a shift toward cuts at the June or July meetings.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$54,200समाप्ति तिथि
29 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflationary pressures from Middle East energy shocks have anchored the Federal Open Market Committee’s monetary policy stance, driving the 92.5% market-implied probability of a Pause–Pause–Pause outcome across the April, June, and July 2026 meetings. With the federal funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75% after the April decision and futures markets showing negligible odds of near-term adjustments, traders cite well-anchored longer-term inflation expectations alongside a stable labor market as key supports for the current pause. This consensus reflects the Fed’s data-dependent approach amid elevated CPI readings. A sharper-than-expected disinflation trajectory or material softening in growth indicators could still prompt a shift toward cuts at the June or July meetings.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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