Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 88% implied probability for the Federal Reserve to pause rate changes across its March, May, and June 2026 FOMC meetings, anchored by the central bank's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%–3.75% for a second consecutive meeting amid resilient labor markets and sticky inflation. The March CPI report, released April 10, showed a sharp 0.9% monthly surge to 3.3% annually—driven by record gas price spikes—eclipsing February's 2.4% and dimming near-term cut prospects, while March nonfarm payrolls rebounded +178,000 after February's decline. Fed projections still signal one 25-basis-point cut sometime in 2026, but traders price minimal action before June, with upcoming April PCE inflation and May employment data as key catalysts ahead of the May 6–7 FOMC gathering.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाविराम–विराम–विराम 88%
रोक–रोक–कटौती 9%
अन्य 1.3%
रोक–कटौती–रोक <1%
$903,502 वॉल्यूम
$903,502 वॉल्यूम
17 जून, 2026
विराम–विराम–विराम
88%
रोक–रोक–कटौती
9%
अन्य
1%
रोक–कटौती–रोक
<1%
विराम–कटौती–कटौती
<1%
विराम–विराम–विराम 88%
रोक–रोक–कटौती 9%
अन्य 1.3%
रोक–कटौती–रोक <1%
$903,502 वॉल्यूम
$903,502 वॉल्यूम
17 जून, 2026
विराम–विराम–विराम
$29,921 वॉल्यूम
88%
रोक–रोक–कटौती
$15,046 वॉल्यूम
9%
अन्य
$216,461 वॉल्यूम
1%
रोक–कटौती–रोक
$132,347 वॉल्यूम
<1%
विराम–कटौती–कटौती
$509,728 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 88% implied probability for the Federal Reserve to pause rate changes across its March, May, and June 2026 FOMC meetings, anchored by the central bank's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%–3.75% for a second consecutive meeting amid resilient labor markets and sticky inflation. The March CPI report, released April 10, showed a sharp 0.9% monthly surge to 3.3% annually—driven by record gas price spikes—eclipsing February's 2.4% and dimming near-term cut prospects, while March nonfarm payrolls rebounded +178,000 after February's decline. Fed projections still signal one 25-basis-point cut sometime in 2026, but traders price minimal action before June, with upcoming April PCE inflation and May employment data as key catalysts ahead of the May 6–7 FOMC gathering.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$903,502समाप्ति तिथि
17 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 88% implied probability for the Federal Reserve to pause rate changes across its March, May, and June 2026 FOMC meetings, anchored by the central bank's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%–3.75% for a second consecutive meeting amid resilient labor markets and sticky inflation. The March CPI report, released April 10, showed a sharp 0.9% monthly surge to 3.3% annually—driven by record gas price spikes—eclipsing February's 2.4% and dimming near-term cut prospects, while March nonfarm payrolls rebounded +178,000 after February's decline. Fed projections still signal one 25-basis-point cut sometime in 2026, but traders price minimal action before June, with upcoming April PCE inflation and May employment data as key catalysts ahead of the May 6–7 FOMC gathering.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$903,502समाप्ति तिथि
17 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 88% implied probability for the Federal Reserve to pause rate changes across its March, May, and June 2026 FOMC meetings, anchored by the central bank's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%–3.75% for a second consecutive meeting amid resilient labor markets and sticky inflation. The March CPI report, released April 10, showed a sharp 0.9% monthly surge to 3.3% annually—driven by record gas price spikes—eclipsing February's 2.4% and dimming near-term cut prospects, while March nonfarm payrolls rebounded +178,000 after February's decline. Fed projections still signal one 25-basis-point cut sometime in 2026, but traders price minimal action before June, with upcoming April PCE inflation and May employment data as key catalysts ahead of the May 6–7 FOMC gathering.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न