Polymarket traders price a 90.5% implied probability of no Federal Reserve rate change at the June 16-17, 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting the federal funds rate's steady 3.50%-3.75% range amid hotter-than-expected March CPI at 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4% in February—fueled by a 10.9% energy surge from Iran war-related oil shocks. The March FOMC dot plot median still envisions one 25 basis point cut by year-end, but minutes released April 8 revealed growing openness to hikes if inflation persists, reinforced by a March nonfarm payroll rebound to +178,000 jobs. Consensus holds firm absent sharp disinflation, though softening April labor data or easing oil prices ahead of the late-April FOMC could challenge this positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाजून में फेड का फ़ैसला?
जून में फेड का फ़ैसला?
कोई बदलाव नहीं 91%
25 बीपीएस कटौती 7%
50+ बीपीएस कमी 1.8%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की वृद्धि 1.6%
$7,920,920 वॉल्यूम
$7,920,920 वॉल्यूम
17 जून, 2026
50+ बीपीएस कमी
2%
25 बीपीएस कटौती
7%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
91%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की वृद्धि
2%
50+ बीपीएस बढ़ोतरी
1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 91%
25 बीपीएस कटौती 7%
50+ बीपीएस कमी 1.8%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की वृद्धि 1.6%
$7,920,920 वॉल्यूम
$7,920,920 वॉल्यूम
17 जून, 2026
50+ बीपीएस कमी
$2,319,471 वॉल्यूम
2%
25 बीपीएस कटौती
$1,201,592 वॉल्यूम
7%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$1,481,310 वॉल्यूम
91%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट की वृद्धि
$1,607,641 वॉल्यूम
2%
50+ बीपीएस बढ़ोतरी
$1,311,354 वॉल्यूम
1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 90.5% implied probability of no Federal Reserve rate change at the June 16-17, 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting the federal funds rate's steady 3.50%-3.75% range amid hotter-than-expected March CPI at 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4% in February—fueled by a 10.9% energy surge from Iran war-related oil shocks. The March FOMC dot plot median still envisions one 25 basis point cut by year-end, but minutes released April 8 revealed growing openness to hikes if inflation persists, reinforced by a March nonfarm payroll rebound to +178,000 jobs. Consensus holds firm absent sharp disinflation, though softening April labor data or easing oil prices ahead of the late-April FOMC could challenge this positioning.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,920,920समाप्ति तिथि
17 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 90.5% implied probability of no Federal Reserve rate change at the June 16-17, 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting the federal funds rate's steady 3.50%-3.75% range amid hotter-than-expected March CPI at 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4% in February—fueled by a 10.9% energy surge from Iran war-related oil shocks. The March FOMC dot plot median still envisions one 25 basis point cut by year-end, but minutes released April 8 revealed growing openness to hikes if inflation persists, reinforced by a March nonfarm payroll rebound to +178,000 jobs. Consensus holds firm absent sharp disinflation, though softening April labor data or easing oil prices ahead of the late-April FOMC could challenge this positioning.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$7,920,920समाप्ति तिथि
17 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 90.5% implied probability of no Federal Reserve rate change at the June 16-17, 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting the federal funds rate's steady 3.50%-3.75% range amid hotter-than-expected March CPI at 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4% in February—fueled by a 10.9% energy surge from Iran war-related oil shocks. The March FOMC dot plot median still envisions one 25 basis point cut by year-end, but minutes released April 8 revealed growing openness to hikes if inflation persists, reinforced by a March nonfarm payroll rebound to +178,000 jobs. Consensus holds firm absent sharp disinflation, though softening April labor data or easing oil prices ahead of the late-April FOMC could challenge this positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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