The entrenched institutional framework of the Federal Reserve, established under the 1913 Federal Reserve Act, underpins the 97.3% market-implied probability that it will not be abolished before 2027. Recent legislative efforts, such as the 2025 Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act introduced by Rep. Thomas Massie, remain symbolic with negligible prospects of enactment amid broad bipartisan recognition of the central bank's role in conducting monetary policy, managing inflation, and supporting financial stability. Trader consensus reflects the high barriers to repealing foundational statutes, including required congressional majorities and presidential approval, alongside the absence of systemic economic catalysts favoring such a shift. Tail-risk scenarios include unprecedented political realignments or crises that could accelerate reform debates, though none appear imminent within the timeframe.