Recent surges in oil prices above $100 per barrel, combined with hotter-than-expected August CPI and PPI readings showing persistent core inflation near 3.4%, have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.95% as of September 11, 2026—its highest levels since 2023 and approaching the 5% threshold. These developments have shifted market-implied odds toward a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with probabilities ranging from 70-90% depending on the latest futures pricing, while also widening the term premium amid fiscal supply concerns and global bond selling. Traders are monitoring upcoming jobs, retail sales, and housing data for further signals on whether yields sustain above 4.9% or test higher before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2027 से पहले 10 साल की ट्रेजरी उपज कितनी ऊंची होगी?
2027 से पहले 10 साल की ट्रेजरी उपज कितनी ऊंची होगी?
$379,003 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
5.0%
84%
5.1%
71%
5.2%
33%
5.5%
8%
5.7%
5%
6.0%
3%
$379,003 वॉल्यूम
5.0%
$108,143 वॉल्यूम
84%
5.1%
$1,457 वॉल्यूम
71%
5.2%
$54,267 वॉल्यूम
33%
5.5%
$16,377 वॉल्यूम
8%
5.7%
$8,766 वॉल्यूम
5%
6.0%
$7,851 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent surges in oil prices above $100 per barrel, combined with hotter-than-expected August CPI and PPI readings showing persistent core inflation near 3.4%, have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.95% as of September 11, 2026—its highest levels since 2023 and approaching the 5% threshold. These developments have shifted market-implied odds toward a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with probabilities ranging from 70-90% depending on the latest futures pricing, while also widening the term premium amid fiscal supply concerns and global bond selling. Traders are monitoring upcoming jobs, retail sales, and housing data for further signals on whether yields sustain above 4.9% or test higher before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$379,003समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent surges in oil prices above $100 per barrel, combined with hotter-than-expected August CPI and PPI readings showing persistent core inflation near 3.4%, have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.95% as of September 11, 2026—its highest levels since 2023 and approaching the 5% threshold. These developments have shifted market-implied odds toward a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with probabilities ranging from 70-90% depending on the latest futures pricing, while also widening the term premium amid fiscal supply concerns and global bond selling. Traders are monitoring upcoming jobs, retail sales, and housing data for further signals on whether yields sustain above 4.9% or test higher before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
वॉल्यूम
$379,003समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Recent surges in oil prices above $100 per barrel, combined with hotter-than-expected August CPI and PPI readings showing persistent core inflation near 3.4%, have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.95% as of September 11, 2026—its highest levels since 2023 and approaching the 5% threshold. These developments have shifted market-implied odds toward a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with probabilities ranging from 70-90% depending on the latest futures pricing, while also widening the term premium amid fiscal supply concerns and global bond selling. Traders are monitoring upcoming jobs, retail sales, and housing data for further signals on whether yields sustain above 4.9% or test higher before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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