The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to approximately 4.97% as of mid-September 2026, driven primarily by hotter-than-expected August core CPI and PPI readings alongside surging oil prices amid Middle East supply disruptions. These factors have elevated market-implied probabilities of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the upcoming FOMC meeting and additional tightening by year-end, with the two-year yield also reaching multi-year highs. Resilient August payrolls of 162,000 and a stable 4.1% unemployment rate have reinforced concerns over sticky inflation above the 2% target, while fiscal expansion signals add upward pressure on long-term rates. Traders are monitoring the September FOMC decision and subsequent inflation releases for further shifts in the rate path.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2027 से पहले 10 साल की ट्रेजरी उपज कितनी ऊंची होगी?
2027 से पहले 10 साल की ट्रेजरी उपज कितनी ऊंची होगी?
$387,663 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
5.0%
87%
5.1%
66%
5.2%
33%
5.5%
9%
5.7%
9%
6.0%
3%
$387,663 वॉल्यूम
5.0%
$111,041 वॉल्यूम
87%
5.1%
$3,833 वॉल्यूम
66%
5.2%
$55,062 वॉल्यूम
33%
5.5%
$17,347 वॉल्यूम
9%
5.7%
$9,685 वॉल्यूम
9%
6.0%
$8,553 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to approximately 4.97% as of mid-September 2026, driven primarily by hotter-than-expected August core CPI and PPI readings alongside surging oil prices amid Middle East supply disruptions. These factors have elevated market-implied probabilities of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the upcoming FOMC meeting and additional tightening by year-end, with the two-year yield also reaching multi-year highs. Resilient August payrolls of 162,000 and a stable 4.1% unemployment rate have reinforced concerns over sticky inflation above the 2% target, while fiscal expansion signals add upward pressure on long-term rates. Traders are monitoring the September FOMC decision and subsequent inflation releases for further shifts in the rate path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$387,663समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to approximately 4.97% as of mid-September 2026, driven primarily by hotter-than-expected August core CPI and PPI readings alongside surging oil prices amid Middle East supply disruptions. These factors have elevated market-implied probabilities of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the upcoming FOMC meeting and additional tightening by year-end, with the two-year yield also reaching multi-year highs. Resilient August payrolls of 162,000 and a stable 4.1% unemployment rate have reinforced concerns over sticky inflation above the 2% target, while fiscal expansion signals add upward pressure on long-term rates. Traders are monitoring the September FOMC decision and subsequent inflation releases for further shifts in the rate path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
वॉल्यूम
$387,663समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to approximately 4.97% as of mid-September 2026, driven primarily by hotter-than-expected August core CPI and PPI readings alongside surging oil prices amid Middle East supply disruptions. These factors have elevated market-implied probabilities of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the upcoming FOMC meeting and additional tightening by year-end, with the two-year yield also reaching multi-year highs. Resilient August payrolls of 162,000 and a stable 4.1% unemployment rate have reinforced concerns over sticky inflation above the 2% target, while fiscal expansion signals add upward pressure on long-term rates. Traders are monitoring the September FOMC decision and subsequent inflation releases for further shifts in the rate path.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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