The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) confirmed pauses on the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% during its January 27-28 and March 17-18, 2026 meetings, aligning with trader consensus now implying a 99.1% probability of no change through the April 28-29 session via Polymarket's aggregated capital flows. This strong positioning reflects resilient labor data, including March's 178,000 nonfarm payroll gain, offsetting hotter March CPI inflation at 3.3% year-over-year amid war-related oil shocks noted in recent minutes. Policymakers' March statement emphasized data dependence, with futures pricing minimal near-term adjustment risk. Challenges could arise from unexpectedly weak April jobs or CPI prints pre-meeting, or escalating geopolitical pressures prompting a hawkish pivot, though such scenarios remain low-probability tail risks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाफेड के फ़ैसले (जनवरी - अप्रैल)
फेड के फ़ैसले (जनवरी - अप्रैल)
ठहराव–ठहराव–ठहराव 99.0%
रोक–रोक–कटौती <1%
अन्य <1%
$627,544 वॉल्यूम
$627,544 वॉल्यूम
29 अप्रैल, 2026
ठहराव–ठहराव–ठहराव
99%
रोक–रोक–कटौती
1%
अन्य
<1%
ठहराव–ठहराव–ठहराव 99.0%
रोक–रोक–कटौती <1%
अन्य <1%
$627,544 वॉल्यूम
$627,544 वॉल्यूम
29 अप्रैल, 2026
ठहराव–ठहराव–ठहराव
$89,038 वॉल्यूम
99%
रोक–रोक–कटौती
$222,647 वॉल्यूम
1%
अन्य
$275,873 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: January 27–28, 2026; March 17-18, 2026; and April 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmThe Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) confirmed pauses on the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% during its January 27-28 and March 17-18, 2026 meetings, aligning with trader consensus now implying a 99.1% probability of no change through the April 28-29 session via Polymarket's aggregated capital flows. This strong positioning reflects resilient labor data, including March's 178,000 nonfarm payroll gain, offsetting hotter March CPI inflation at 3.3% year-over-year amid war-related oil shocks noted in recent minutes. Policymakers' March statement emphasized data dependence, with futures pricing minimal near-term adjustment risk. Challenges could arise from unexpectedly weak April jobs or CPI prints pre-meeting, or escalating geopolitical pressures prompting a hawkish pivot, though such scenarios remain low-probability tail risks.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: January 27–28, 2026; March 17-18, 2026; and April 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: January 27–28, 2026; March 17-18, 2026; and April 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 2:34 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$627,544समाप्ति तिथि
29 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 2:34 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: January 27–28, 2026; March 17-18, 2026; and April 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmThe Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) confirmed pauses on the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% during its January 27-28 and March 17-18, 2026 meetings, aligning with trader consensus now implying a 99.1% probability of no change through the April 28-29 session via Polymarket's aggregated capital flows. This strong positioning reflects resilient labor data, including March's 178,000 nonfarm payroll gain, offsetting hotter March CPI inflation at 3.3% year-over-year amid war-related oil shocks noted in recent minutes. Policymakers' March statement emphasized data dependence, with futures pricing minimal near-term adjustment risk. Challenges could arise from unexpectedly weak April jobs or CPI prints pre-meeting, or escalating geopolitical pressures prompting a hawkish pivot, though such scenarios remain low-probability tail risks.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: January 27–28, 2026; March 17-18, 2026; and April 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: January 27–28, 2026; March 17-18, 2026; and April 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$627,544समाप्ति तिथि
29 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 2:34 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) confirmed pauses on the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% during its January 27-28 and March 17-18, 2026 meetings, aligning with trader consensus now implying a 99.1% probability of no change through the April 28-29 session via Polymarket's aggregated capital flows. This strong positioning reflects resilient labor data, including March's 178,000 nonfarm payroll gain, offsetting hotter March CPI inflation at 3.3% year-over-year amid war-related oil shocks noted in recent minutes. Policymakers' March statement emphasized data dependence, with futures pricing minimal near-term adjustment risk. Challenges could arise from unexpectedly weak April jobs or CPI prints pre-meeting, or escalating geopolitical pressures prompting a hawkish pivot, though such scenarios remain low-probability tail risks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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