Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63% implied probability for exactly one dissent at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, reflecting hawkish pressures intensified by the hotter-than-expected March 2026 CPI of 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4%—released April 10 and driven by a 10.9% energy surge from Middle East tensions. This follows March 17-18 minutes revealing one dovish dissent from Stephen Miran advocating a 25 basis point cut, amid elevated core PCE inflation near 3% and labor market softening to 4.4% unemployment, positioning the 3½–3¾% fed funds rate at plausible neutral. Some officials signaled openness to hikes if inflation persists, with trader sentiment anticipating limited division on holding steady ahead of April employment data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1 63%
2 28%
3 6%
0 3.7%
$44,604 वॉल्यूम
$44,604 वॉल्यूम
0
4%
1
63%
2
28%
3
6%
4+
1%
1 63%
2 28%
3 6%
0 3.7%
$44,604 वॉल्यूम
$44,604 वॉल्यूम
0
4%
1
63%
2
28%
3
6%
4+
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 19, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63% implied probability for exactly one dissent at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, reflecting hawkish pressures intensified by the hotter-than-expected March 2026 CPI of 3.3% year-over-year—up from 2.4%—released April 10 and driven by a 10.9% energy surge from Middle East tensions. This follows March 17-18 minutes revealing one dovish dissent from Stephen Miran advocating a 25 basis point cut, amid elevated core PCE inflation near 3% and labor market softening to 4.4% unemployment, positioning the 3½–3¾% fed funds rate at plausible neutral. Some officials signaled openness to hikes if inflation persists, with trader sentiment anticipating limited division on holding steady ahead of April employment data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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