Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 40% implied probability for the April 2026 unemployment rate holding at 4.3%, mirroring March's BLS-reported figure where nonfarm payrolls surprised to the upside with 178,000 jobs added—well above subdued expectations—while the jobless rate edged down slightly from 4.4% amid steady household survey metrics. This resilience anchors expectations for stability, though a 21% chance on 4.4% reflects caution from last week's initial jobless claims jumping 16,000 to 219,000 for the period ending April 4, exceeding forecasts and hinting at early softening. Lower outcomes like 4.2% (17%) appear less likely given persistent labor demand in health care and construction. The official April Employment Situation releases May 2, with ADP private payrolls due later this month as a key precursor.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाApril Unemployment Rate
April Unemployment Rate
4.3% 35%
4.4% 21%
4.2% 17%
4.5% 11%
$13,669 वॉल्यूम
$13,669 वॉल्यूम
8 मई, 2026
≤3.9%
1%
4.0%
<1%
4.1%
7%
4.2%
17%
4.3%
40%
4.4%
21%
4.5%
11%
4.6%
4%
≥4.7%
4%
4.3% 35%
4.4% 21%
4.2% 17%
4.5% 11%
$13,669 वॉल्यूम
$13,669 वॉल्यूम
8 मई, 2026
≤3.9%
$1,215 वॉल्यूम
1%
4.0%
$328 वॉल्यूम
<1%
4.1%
$1,112 वॉल्यूम
7%
4.2%
$1,371 वॉल्यूम
17%
4.3%
$1,584 वॉल्यूम
40%
4.4%
$4,185 वॉल्यूम
21%
4.5%
$762 वॉल्यूम
11%
4.6%
$1,039 वॉल्यूम
4%
≥4.7%
$2,072 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for April 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 40% implied probability for the April 2026 unemployment rate holding at 4.3%, mirroring March's BLS-reported figure where nonfarm payrolls surprised to the upside with 178,000 jobs added—well above subdued expectations—while the jobless rate edged down slightly from 4.4% amid steady household survey metrics. This resilience anchors expectations for stability, though a 21% chance on 4.4% reflects caution from last week's initial jobless claims jumping 16,000 to 219,000 for the period ending April 4, exceeding forecasts and hinting at early softening. Lower outcomes like 4.2% (17%) appear less likely given persistent labor demand in health care and construction. The official April Employment Situation releases May 2, with ADP private payrolls due later this month as a key precursor.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for April 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 3, 2026, 6:55 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,669समाप्ति तिथि
8 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 3, 2026, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for April 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 40% implied probability for the April 2026 unemployment rate holding at 4.3%, mirroring March's BLS-reported figure where nonfarm payrolls surprised to the upside with 178,000 jobs added—well above subdued expectations—while the jobless rate edged down slightly from 4.4% amid steady household survey metrics. This resilience anchors expectations for stability, though a 21% chance on 4.4% reflects caution from last week's initial jobless claims jumping 16,000 to 219,000 for the period ending April 4, exceeding forecasts and hinting at early softening. Lower outcomes like 4.2% (17%) appear less likely given persistent labor demand in health care and construction. The official April Employment Situation releases May 2, with ADP private payrolls due later this month as a key precursor.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for April 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
वॉल्यूम
$13,669समाप्ति तिथि
8 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 3, 2026, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 40% implied probability for the April 2026 unemployment rate holding at 4.3%, mirroring March's BLS-reported figure where nonfarm payrolls surprised to the upside with 178,000 jobs added—well above subdued expectations—while the jobless rate edged down slightly from 4.4% amid steady household survey metrics. This resilience anchors expectations for stability, though a 21% chance on 4.4% reflects caution from last week's initial jobless claims jumping 16,000 to 219,000 for the period ending April 4, exceeding forecasts and hinting at early softening. Lower outcomes like 4.2% (17%) appear less likely given persistent labor demand in health care and construction. The official April Employment Situation releases May 2, with ADP private payrolls due later this month as a key precursor.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न