Polymarket traders have priced a 100% implied probability on the U.S. unemployment rate holding at 4.3% for April 2026, directly reflecting the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Employment Situation report released May 8, which confirmed the rate unchanged from March's 4.3% amid 115,000 nonfarm payroll additions that beat consensus estimates of 62,000–65,000 jobs. This stability aligns with recent low initial jobless claims and a cooling yet resilient labor market, bolstering the Federal Reserve's soft landing outlook as wage growth moderated to 0.2% monthly. While benchmark revisions occur annually in January without typically altering unemployment materially, any significant methodological adjustments or data errors could prompt a rare revisit, though historical precedents show minimal impact.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअप्रैल में बेरोजगारी की दर
अप्रैल में बेरोजगारी की दर
4.3% 100.0%
≤3.9% <1%
4.0% <1%
4.1% <1%
$90,149 वॉल्यूम
$90,149 वॉल्यूम
8 मई, 2026
≤3.9%
नहीं
4.0%
नहीं
4.1%
नहीं
4.2%
नहीं
4.3%
हाँ
4.4%
नहीं
4.5%
नहीं
4.6%
नहीं
≥4.7%
नहीं
4.3% 100.0%
≤3.9% <1%
4.0% <1%
4.1% <1%
$90,149 वॉल्यूम
$90,149 वॉल्यूम
8 मई, 2026
≤3.9%
$6,316 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
4.0%
$6,458 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
4.1%
$9,130 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
4.2%
$9,141 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
4.3%
$14,410 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
4.4%
$16,728 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
4.5%
$8,164 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
4.6%
$8,944 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
≥4.7%
$10,859 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for April 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders have priced a 100% implied probability on the U.S. unemployment rate holding at 4.3% for April 2026, directly reflecting the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Employment Situation report released May 8, which confirmed the rate unchanged from March's 4.3% amid 115,000 nonfarm payroll additions that beat consensus estimates of 62,000–65,000 jobs. This stability aligns with recent low initial jobless claims and a cooling yet resilient labor market, bolstering the Federal Reserve's soft landing outlook as wage growth moderated to 0.2% monthly. While benchmark revisions occur annually in January without typically altering unemployment materially, any significant methodological adjustments or data errors could prompt a rare revisit, though historical precedents show minimal impact.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for April 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 3, 2026, 6:55 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$90,149समाप्ति तिथि
8 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 3, 2026, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for April 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders have priced a 100% implied probability on the U.S. unemployment rate holding at 4.3% for April 2026, directly reflecting the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Employment Situation report released May 8, which confirmed the rate unchanged from March's 4.3% amid 115,000 nonfarm payroll additions that beat consensus estimates of 62,000–65,000 jobs. This stability aligns with recent low initial jobless claims and a cooling yet resilient labor market, bolstering the Federal Reserve's soft landing outlook as wage growth moderated to 0.2% monthly. While benchmark revisions occur annually in January without typically altering unemployment materially, any significant methodological adjustments or data errors could prompt a rare revisit, though historical precedents show minimal impact.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for April 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for May 8, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
वॉल्यूम
$90,149समाप्ति तिथि
8 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 3, 2026, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Polymarket traders have priced a 100% implied probability on the U.S. unemployment rate holding at 4.3% for April 2026, directly reflecting the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Employment Situation report released May 8, which confirmed the rate unchanged from March's 4.3% amid 115,000 nonfarm payroll additions that beat consensus estimates of 62,000–65,000 jobs. This stability aligns with recent low initial jobless claims and a cooling yet resilient labor market, bolstering the Federal Reserve's soft landing outlook as wage growth moderated to 0.2% monthly. While benchmark revisions occur annually in January without typically altering unemployment materially, any significant methodological adjustments or data errors could prompt a rare revisit, though historical precedents show minimal impact.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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