Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 94% implied probability for third-most seats in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives following the March 8, 2026 legislative elections, reflecting official escrutinio results from the Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil completed by late March. Preliminary tallies position the Historic Pact coalition first with around 33 seats, Centro Democrático (CD) second with 24-28 seats buoyed by its leading 13.5% nationwide vote share, and PLC third at 26 seats despite 11.1% votes, due to proportional allocations across departmental circumscriptions. No major developments since March 31 have shifted this hierarchy amid low turnout and fragmented opposition. Realistic challenges include recounts in battleground departments elevating CD's lead further or unexpectedly boosting Conservative or Cambio Radical tallies, though final certification by the Consejo Nacional Electoral appears imminent with minimal disputes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयापार्टीडो लिबरल कोलंबियानो (पीएलसी) 94.4%
कैम्बियो रैडिकल (सीआर) 2.1%
सेंत्रो डेमोक्रेटिको (सीडी) 2.0%
ग्रीन एलायंस (एवी) <1%
$13,958,378 वॉल्यूम
$13,958,378 वॉल्यूम
8 मार्च, 2026
पार्टीडो लिबरल कोलंबियानो (पीएलसी)
94%
कैम्बियो रैडिकल (सीआर)
2%
सेंत्रो डेमोक्रेटिको (सीडी)
2%
ग्रीन एलायंस (एवी)
<1%
पार्तिदो कंज़र्वादोर कोलंबियानो (कंज़र्वेटिव)
<1%
कोलंबिया के लिए ऐतिहासिक संधि (पीएच)
<1%
पार्तीदो दे ला यू (ला यू)
<1%
MIRA-CJL गठबंधन (MIRA-CJL)
<1%
पार्टीडो लिबरल कोलंबियानो (पीएलसी) 94.4%
कैम्बियो रैडिकल (सीआर) 2.1%
सेंत्रो डेमोक्रेटिको (सीडी) 2.0%
ग्रीन एलायंस (एवी) <1%
$13,958,378 वॉल्यूम
$13,958,378 वॉल्यूम
8 मार्च, 2026
पार्टीडो लिबरल कोलंबियानो (पीएलसी)
$46,635 वॉल्यूम
94%
कैम्बियो रैडिकल (सीआर)
$1,431,728 वॉल्यूम
2%
सेंत्रो डेमोक्रेटिको (सीडी)
$36,464 वॉल्यूम
2%
ग्रीन एलायंस (एवी)
$1,339,177 वॉल्यूम
<1%
पार्तिदो कंज़र्वादोर कोलंबियानो (कंज़र्वेटिव)
$1,216,222 वॉल्यूम
<1%
कोलंबिया के लिए ऐतिहासिक संधि (पीएच)
$2,849,770 वॉल्यूम
<1%
पार्तीदो दे ला यू (ला यू)
$6,447,383 वॉल्यूम
<1%
MIRA-CJL गठबंधन (MIRA-CJL)
$590,999 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 94% implied probability for third-most seats in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives following the March 8, 2026 legislative elections, reflecting official escrutinio results from the Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil completed by late March. Preliminary tallies position the Historic Pact coalition first with around 33 seats, Centro Democrático (CD) second with 24-28 seats buoyed by its leading 13.5% nationwide vote share, and PLC third at 26 seats despite 11.1% votes, due to proportional allocations across departmental circumscriptions. No major developments since March 31 have shifted this hierarchy amid low turnout and fragmented opposition. Realistic challenges include recounts in battleground departments elevating CD's lead further or unexpectedly boosting Conservative or Cambio Radical tallies, though final certification by the Consejo Nacional Electoral appears imminent with minimal disputes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,958,378समाप्ति तिथि
8 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 94% implied probability for third-most seats in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives following the March 8, 2026 legislative elections, reflecting official escrutinio results from the Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil completed by late March. Preliminary tallies position the Historic Pact coalition first with around 33 seats, Centro Democrático (CD) second with 24-28 seats buoyed by its leading 13.5% nationwide vote share, and PLC third at 26 seats despite 11.1% votes, due to proportional allocations across departmental circumscriptions. No major developments since March 31 have shifted this hierarchy amid low turnout and fragmented opposition. Realistic challenges include recounts in battleground departments elevating CD's lead further or unexpectedly boosting Conservative or Cambio Radical tallies, though final certification by the Consejo Nacional Electoral appears imminent with minimal disputes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
वॉल्यूम
$13,958,378समाप्ति तिथि
8 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 94% implied probability for third-most seats in Colombia's Chamber of Representatives following the March 8, 2026 legislative elections, reflecting official escrutinio results from the Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil completed by late March. Preliminary tallies position the Historic Pact coalition first with around 33 seats, Centro Democrático (CD) second with 24-28 seats buoyed by its leading 13.5% nationwide vote share, and PLC third at 26 seats despite 11.1% votes, due to proportional allocations across departmental circumscriptions. No major developments since March 31 have shifted this hierarchy amid low turnout and fragmented opposition. Realistic challenges include recounts in battleground departments elevating CD's lead further or unexpectedly boosting Conservative or Cambio Radical tallies, though final certification by the Consejo Nacional Electoral appears imminent with minimal disputes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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