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मोदी 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक बाहर हो जाएंगे?

Market icon

मोदी 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक बाहर हो जाएंगे?

दिस 31

दिस 31

हाँ

8% संभावना
Polymarket

$20,378 वॉल्यूम

हाँ

8% संभावना
Polymarket

$20,378 वॉल्यूम

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Prime Minister Narendra Modi remaining in office through December 31, 2026, with "No" at 91.8%, reflecting the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition's stability in the Lok Sabha following the 2024 general elections, which secure the government's term until 2029 absent a no-confidence vote or snap election. Recent state assembly elections in Assam, Kerala, Puducherry, and Tamil Nadu—ongoing as of mid-April—have seen Modi actively campaigning, exuding confidence in NDA prospects during rallies on April 15 and roadshows, underscoring organizational strength without federal disruptions. Opposition rhetoric, including Arvind Kejriwal's late-March prediction of Modi's exit and criticism over rupee depreciation past 93/USD, has not materialized into procedural challenges or coalition fractures, bolstering trader views of continuity.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$20,378
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Prime Minister Narendra Modi remaining in office through December 31, 2026, with "No" at 91.8%, reflecting the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition's stability in the Lok Sabha following the 2024 general elections, which secure the government's term until 2029 absent a no-confidence vote or snap election. Recent state assembly elections in Assam, Kerala, Puducherry, and Tamil Nadu—ongoing as of mid-April—have seen Modi actively campaigning, exuding confidence in NDA prospects during rallies on April 15 and roadshows, underscoring organizational strength without federal disruptions. Opposition rhetoric, including Arvind Kejriwal's late-March prediction of Modi's exit and criticism over rupee depreciation past 93/USD, has not materialized into procedural challenges or coalition fractures, bolstering trader views of continuity.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$20,378
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"मोदी 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक बाहर हो जाएंगे?" Polymarket पर 2 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, क्या मोदी 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक बाहर हो जाएंगे? 8% (8¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है।

आज तक, "मोदी 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक बाहर हो जाएंगे?" ने कुल $20.4K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Nov 13, 2025 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"मोदी 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक बाहर हो जाएंगे?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 2 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

यह एक खुला बाज़ार है। "मोदी 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक बाहर हो जाएंगे?" के लिए वर्तमान अग्रणी "क्या मोदी 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक बाहर हो जाएंगे?" केवल 8% पर है। किसी भी परिणाम के पास मज़बूत बहुमत नहीं होने से, ट्रेडर इसे अत्यधिक अनिश्चित मानते हैं।

"मोदी 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक बाहर हो जाएंगे?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।