**Trader sentiment in the August 2026 U.S. CPI year-over-year market centers on the 3.3–3.4% outcomes, which together command over 70% implied probability following the July print that matched the 3.4% consensus at 3.4% YoY.** The July Bureau of Labor Statistics release showed headline CPI rising just 0.1% month-over-month, with the annual rate easing from June’s 3.5% amid softer gasoline prices and moderating shelter costs, while core CPI held at 2.5% YoY. This latest data reinforced the recent disinflation trend and anchored expectations for August, with market-implied odds reflecting continued modest cooling before the September 11 release. Broader context includes stable consumer inflation expectations near 3.6% and ongoing tariff pass-through effects that remain a longer-term upside risk but have yet to disrupt the near-term trajectory. The distribution around 3.3–3.4% illustrates how recent official figures and nowcasts have narrowed the range of probable outcomes ahead of the next print.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3.4% 43%
3.3% 28%
3.5% 11%
3.6% 9%
नया
नया
11 सित, 2026
≤2.9%
3%
3.0%
4%
3.1%
3%
3.2%
5%
3.3%
28%
3.4%
43%
3.5%
11%
3.6%
9%
3.7%
5%
3.8%
5%
3.9%
3%
≥4.0%
2%
3.4% 43%
3.3% 28%
3.5% 11%
3.6% 9%
नया
नया
11 सित, 2026
≤2.9%
$72 वॉल्यूम
3%
3.0%
$72 वॉल्यूम
4%
3.1%
$72 वॉल्यूम
3%
3.2%
$72 वॉल्यूम
5%
3.3%
$202 वॉल्यूम
28%
3.4%
$654 वॉल्यूम
43%
3.5%
$131 वॉल्यूम
11%
3.6%
$72 वॉल्यूम
9%
3.7%
$171 वॉल्यूम
5%
3.8%
$192 वॉल्यूम
5%
3.9%
$192 वॉल्यूम
3%
≥4.0%
$64 वॉल्यूम
2%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Trader sentiment in the August 2026 U.S. CPI year-over-year market centers on the 3.3–3.4% outcomes, which together command over 70% implied probability following the July print that matched the 3.4% consensus at 3.4% YoY.**
The July Bureau of Labor Statistics release showed headline CPI rising just 0.1% month-over-month, with the annual rate easing from June’s 3.5% amid softer gasoline prices and moderating shelter costs, while core CPI held at 2.5% YoY. This latest data reinforced the recent disinflation trend and anchored expectations for August, with market-implied odds reflecting continued modest cooling before the September 11 release. Broader context includes stable consumer inflation expectations near 3.6% and ongoing tariff pass-through effects that remain a longer-term upside risk but have yet to disrupt the near-term trajectory. The distribution around 3.3–3.4% illustrates how recent official figures and nowcasts have narrowed the range of probable outcomes ahead of the next print.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,963समाप्ति तिथि
11 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Trader sentiment in the August 2026 U.S. CPI year-over-year market centers on the 3.3–3.4% outcomes, which together command over 70% implied probability following the July print that matched the 3.4% consensus at 3.4% YoY.**
The July Bureau of Labor Statistics release showed headline CPI rising just 0.1% month-over-month, with the annual rate easing from June’s 3.5% amid softer gasoline prices and moderating shelter costs, while core CPI held at 2.5% YoY. This latest data reinforced the recent disinflation trend and anchored expectations for August, with market-implied odds reflecting continued modest cooling before the September 11 release. Broader context includes stable consumer inflation expectations near 3.6% and ongoing tariff pass-through effects that remain a longer-term upside risk but have yet to disrupt the near-term trajectory. The distribution around 3.3–3.4% illustrates how recent official figures and nowcasts have narrowed the range of probable outcomes ahead of the next print.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
वॉल्यूम
$1,963समाप्ति तिथि
11 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment in the August 2026 U.S. CPI year-over-year market centers on the 3.3–3.4% outcomes, which together command over 70% implied probability following the July print that matched the 3.4% consensus at 3.4% YoY.** The July Bureau of Labor Statistics release showed headline CPI rising just 0.1% month-over-month, with the annual rate easing from June’s 3.5% amid softer gasoline prices and moderating shelter costs, while core CPI held at 2.5% YoY. This latest data reinforced the recent disinflation trend and anchored expectations for August, with market-implied odds reflecting continued modest cooling before the September 11 release. Broader context includes stable consumer inflation expectations near 3.6% and ongoing tariff pass-through effects that remain a longer-term upside risk but have yet to disrupt the near-term trajectory. The distribution around 3.3–3.4% illustrates how recent official figures and nowcasts have narrowed the range of probable outcomes ahead of the next print.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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