Recent July core CPI data printed at the consensus 0.2% MoM, easing the year-over-year rate to 2.5% and establishing a stable base for August expectations amid moderating shelter and services pressures. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently align with a 0.20% August core reading, while broader forecasts cluster around similar levels ahead of the September 11 release. With market-implied odds tightly distributed across 0.1–0.3% outcomes, traders appear to weigh residual volatility in goods prices, potential energy rebounds, and labor-market influences against the recent trend of contained inflation. This distribution reflects aggregated real-capital sentiment pricing in both the baseline path and plausible deviations from seasonal or component-specific shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया0.2% 29%
0.1% 23%
0.3% 20%
≤0.0% 15%
≤0.0%
15%
0.1%
23%
0.2%
29%
0.3%
20%
0.4%
10%
0.5%
7%
0.6%+
7%
0.2% 29%
0.1% 23%
0.3% 20%
≤0.0% 15%
≤0.0%
15%
0.1%
23%
0.2%
29%
0.3%
20%
0.4%
10%
0.5%
7%
0.6%+
7%
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July core CPI data printed at the consensus 0.2% MoM, easing the year-over-year rate to 2.5% and establishing a stable base for August expectations amid moderating shelter and services pressures. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently align with a 0.20% August core reading, while broader forecasts cluster around similar levels ahead of the September 11 release. With market-implied odds tightly distributed across 0.1–0.3% outcomes, traders appear to weigh residual volatility in goods prices, potential energy rebounds, and labor-market influences against the recent trend of contained inflation. This distribution reflects aggregated real-capital sentiment pricing in both the baseline path and plausible deviations from seasonal or component-specific shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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