Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, slightly below consensus near 54.5, anchors trader expectations for the August release amid ongoing expansion in the dominant services sector. Stable readings in the low-to-mid 50s over recent months reflect resilient business activity and new orders, tempered by employment contraction back into contraction territory, elevated prices near 70 amid petroleum and tariff pressures, and lingering concerns over mortgage rates and inflation. Broader context includes solid manufacturing momentum and seasonal factors like World Cup-related activity, yet the spread of Polymarket probabilities across multiple buckets signals uncertainty about whether August data will accelerate above 57 or soften toward the 50 threshold. Key catalysts include upcoming labor market releases and any shifts in cost or demand commentary.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया<50.0 29%
51.0–51.9 29%
56.0–56.9 28%
57.0–57.9 28%
<50.0
29%
50.0–50.9
23%
51.0–51.9
29%
52.0–52.9
26%
53.0–53.9
26%
54.0–54.9
26%
55.0–55.9
26%
56.0–56.9
28%
57.0–57.9
28%
58.0+
30%
<50.0 29%
51.0–51.9 29%
56.0–56.9 28%
57.0–57.9 28%
<50.0
29%
50.0–50.9
23%
51.0–51.9
29%
52.0–52.9
26%
53.0–53.9
26%
54.0–54.9
26%
55.0–55.9
26%
56.0–56.9
28%
57.0–57.9
28%
58.0+
30%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, slightly below consensus near 54.5, anchors trader expectations for the August release amid ongoing expansion in the dominant services sector. Stable readings in the low-to-mid 50s over recent months reflect resilient business activity and new orders, tempered by employment contraction back into contraction territory, elevated prices near 70 amid petroleum and tariff pressures, and lingering concerns over mortgage rates and inflation. Broader context includes solid manufacturing momentum and seasonal factors like World Cup-related activity, yet the spread of Polymarket probabilities across multiple buckets signals uncertainty about whether August data will accelerate above 57 or soften toward the 50 threshold. Key catalysts include upcoming labor market releases and any shifts in cost or demand commentary.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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