Ukrainian counteroffensives north of Lyman have shifted momentum in the Donetsk sector since May 2026, with the 3rd Army Corps retaking 150–240 square kilometers and eliminating a Russian salient that had threatened encirclement routes toward Sloviansk and Kramatorsk. Recent September gains near the Zherebets River, including villages such as Shandryholove and Serednje, have forced Russian withdrawals from forward positions and disrupted plans for a northern push on the Fortress Belt cities. Russian milbloggers have acknowledged these setbacks and criticized command reporting, while Lyman itself remains under Ukrainian control despite earlier unverified claims of infiltration. These developments have reduced near-term Russian territorial momentum in the area, directly informing trader assessments of capture timelines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाUkrainian counterattacks strengthen defenses around Lyman, blocking Russian advances
December 31 drops to 12%10%
Ukrainian forces increased control around Lyman, pushing Russian troops back beyond key rivers and solidifying defensive positions, confirming Russian failure to capture the railroad station by the resolution date.
Unclear frontline extent near Lyman as Ukrainian gains likely underestimated
December 31 dips to 54%2%
By September 11, 2026, ISW noted that the extent of Ukrainian gains near Lyman was likely underestimated due to limited evidence, but Russian sources exaggerated advances, and Ukrainian forces had effectively eliminated the Russian salient north of Lyman, indicating Russia had not captured the railroad station.




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