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31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक ताइवान के राष्ट्रपति के रूप में लाई चिंग - टे आउट?

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31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक ताइवान के राष्ट्रपति के रूप में लाई चिंग - टे आउट?

हाँ

9% संभावना
Polymarket

$25,351 वॉल्यूम

हाँ

9% संभावना
Polymarket

$25,351 वॉल्यूम

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taiwan's opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over disputes including his administration's refusal to countersign revised fiscal allocation laws, but the effort remains stalled due to the KMT-TPP coalition's inability to secure the required three-fourths supermajority (85 of 113 seats) for passage. A potential impeachment vote was anticipated around May 19, 2026, yet traders price "No" at 91.5%, reflecting the high constitutional barriers to removal and Lai's continued tenure, evidenced by his active role in recent events like the March 2026 Yushan Forum and Ministry of Foreign Affairs banquet. His fixed four-year term extends to 2028, with no reports of resignation plans, health concerns, or other disqualifying factors amid ongoing cross-strait tensions. Late-breaking scandals or legal rulings could shift odds, but current consensus sees stability prevailing.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$25,351
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jan 7, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taiwan's opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over disputes including his administration's refusal to countersign revised fiscal allocation laws, but the effort remains stalled due to the KMT-TPP coalition's inability to secure the required three-fourths supermajority (85 of 113 seats) for passage. A potential impeachment vote was anticipated around May 19, 2026, yet traders price "No" at 91.5%, reflecting the high constitutional barriers to removal and Lai's continued tenure, evidenced by his active role in recent events like the March 2026 Yushan Forum and Ministry of Foreign Affairs banquet. His fixed four-year term extends to 2028, with no reports of resignation plans, health concerns, or other disqualifying factors amid ongoing cross-strait tensions. Late-breaking scandals or legal rulings could shift odds, but current consensus sees stability prevailing.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$25,351
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jan 7, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक ताइवान के राष्ट्रपति के रूप में लाई चिंग - टे आउट?" Polymarket पर 2 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, क्या लाई चिंग-ते 31 दिसम्बर, 2026 तक ताइवान के राष्ट्रपति पद से बाहर हो जाएंगे? 9% (9¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है।

आज तक, "31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक ताइवान के राष्ट्रपति के रूप में लाई चिंग - टे आउट?" ने कुल $25.4K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Jan 7, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक ताइवान के राष्ट्रपति के रूप में लाई चिंग - टे आउट?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 2 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

यह एक खुला बाज़ार है। "31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक ताइवान के राष्ट्रपति के रूप में लाई चिंग - टे आउट?" के लिए वर्तमान अग्रणी "क्या लाई चिंग-ते 31 दिसम्बर, 2026 तक ताइवान के राष्ट्रपति पद से बाहर हो जाएंगे?" केवल 9% पर है। किसी भी परिणाम के पास मज़बूत बहुमत नहीं होने से, ट्रेडर इसे अत्यधिक अनिश्चित मानते हैं।

"31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक ताइवान के राष्ट्रपति के रूप में लाई चिंग - टे आउट?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।