**Forecast uncertainty for Cape Town’s overnight minimum on August 25 centers on competing influences from clear-sky radiative cooling versus moderating southeasterly winds and possible marine-layer effects.** Multiple models project overnight lows near 12–13 °C under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions, consistent with typical mid-August climatology of roughly 10–11 °C. However, slight variations in wind speed (8–16 mph SSE) and any late-arriving cloud cover could either allow stronger surface cooling toward single digits or prevent temperatures from dropping below the mid-teens. This balance produces nearly equal market-implied odds for extremes (≤7 °C or ≥17 °C), reflecting genuine model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer processes rather than a consensus shift. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and regional ensembles will clarify whether radiative losses or advective mixing dominate the final minimum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया25 अगस्त को केप टाउन में सबसे कम तापमान?
25 अगस्त को केप टाउन में सबसे कम तापमान?
7°C या उससे कम 86%
17°C या अधिक 85%
16°C 49%
14°C 48%
नया
नया
25 अग, 2026
7°C या उससे कम
86%
8°C
25%
9°C
25%
10°C
29%
11°C
30%
12°C
26%
13°C
25%
14°C
48%
15°C
2%
16°C
49%
17°C या अधिक
85%
7°C या उससे कम 86%
17°C या अधिक 85%
16°C 49%
14°C 48%
नया
नया
25 अग, 2026
7°C या उससे कम
$5 वॉल्यूम
86%
8°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
9°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
10°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
29%
11°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
30%
12°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
13°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
14°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
48%
15°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
2%
16°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
49%
17°C या अधिक
$5 वॉल्यूम
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty for Cape Town’s overnight minimum on August 25 centers on competing influences from clear-sky radiative cooling versus moderating southeasterly winds and possible marine-layer effects.** Multiple models project overnight lows near 12–13 °C under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions, consistent with typical mid-August climatology of roughly 10–11 °C. However, slight variations in wind speed (8–16 mph SSE) and any late-arriving cloud cover could either allow stronger surface cooling toward single digits or prevent temperatures from dropping below the mid-teens. This balance produces nearly equal market-implied odds for extremes (≤7 °C or ≥17 °C), reflecting genuine model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer processes rather than a consensus shift. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and regional ensembles will clarify whether radiative losses or advective mixing dominate the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$25समाप्ति तिथि
25 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty for Cape Town’s overnight minimum on August 25 centers on competing influences from clear-sky radiative cooling versus moderating southeasterly winds and possible marine-layer effects.** Multiple models project overnight lows near 12–13 °C under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions, consistent with typical mid-August climatology of roughly 10–11 °C. However, slight variations in wind speed (8–16 mph SSE) and any late-arriving cloud cover could either allow stronger surface cooling toward single digits or prevent temperatures from dropping below the mid-teens. This balance produces nearly equal market-implied odds for extremes (≤7 °C or ≥17 °C), reflecting genuine model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer processes rather than a consensus shift. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and regional ensembles will clarify whether radiative losses or advective mixing dominate the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$25समाप्ति तिथि
25 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty for Cape Town’s overnight minimum on August 25 centers on competing influences from clear-sky radiative cooling versus moderating southeasterly winds and possible marine-layer effects.** Multiple models project overnight lows near 12–13 °C under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions, consistent with typical mid-August climatology of roughly 10–11 °C. However, slight variations in wind speed (8–16 mph SSE) and any late-arriving cloud cover could either allow stronger surface cooling toward single digits or prevent temperatures from dropping below the mid-teens. This balance produces nearly equal market-implied odds for extremes (≤7 °C or ≥17 °C), reflecting genuine model spread in nocturnal boundary-layer processes rather than a consensus shift. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and regional ensembles will clarify whether radiative losses or advective mixing dominate the final minimum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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