Recent ensemble forecasts from European centers show notable spread in overnight minimum temperatures for Munich on August 27, driven by uncertainty in low-level cloud cover, wind patterns, and the exact track of an approaching trough. Model consensus places the most likely range between 12–16°C, aligning with the clustered market-implied odds near 25% for 15°C, 16°C, and 13°C. Late-August climatology in southern Germany typically features lows around 13°C under clear conditions, but variable moisture advection introduces realistic upside or downside shifts. Fresh model runs and surface observations from the German Weather Service will provide the next key updates before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया27 अगस्त को म्यूनिख में सबसे कम तापमान?
12°C 26%
13°C 26%
15°C 25%
16°C 24%
10°C or below
15%
11°C
17%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
21%
15°C
25%
16°C
24%
17°C
11%
18°C
16%
19°C
15%
20°C or higher
15%
12°C 26%
13°C 26%
15°C 25%
16°C 24%
10°C or below
15%
11°C
17%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
21%
15°C
25%
16°C
24%
17°C
11%
18°C
16%
19°C
15%
20°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European centers show notable spread in overnight minimum temperatures for Munich on August 27, driven by uncertainty in low-level cloud cover, wind patterns, and the exact track of an approaching trough. Model consensus places the most likely range between 12–16°C, aligning with the clustered market-implied odds near 25% for 15°C, 16°C, and 13°C. Late-August climatology in southern Germany typically features lows around 13°C under clear conditions, but variable moisture advection introduces realistic upside or downside shifts. Fresh model runs and surface observations from the German Weather Service will provide the next key updates before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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