National Weather Service observations from the Central Park station—the official source for New York City climate records—confirm the minimum temperature on May 1, 2026, reached 48-49°F, locking in trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for that outcome as preliminary daily reports finalized yesterday. This positioning reflects a cool upper-level trough lingering from late April, which suppressed temperatures below the early-May climatological normal of 51°F amid light winds and partial cloud cover overnight, consistent with NOAA model guidance in the preceding 48 hours. Historical May 1 lows average around 50°F with variability from urban heat island effects; realistic challenges to resolution would require rare NWS data corrections for sensor anomalies, though final CLI summaries typically affirm initial readings. Traders await no major updates, as the market nears closure.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाLowest temperature in NYC on May 1?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 1?
48-49°F 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$64,947 वॉल्यूम
$64,947 वॉल्यूम
1 मई, 2026
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
Yes
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
No
48-49°F 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$64,947 वॉल्यूम
$64,947 वॉल्यूम
1 मई, 2026
37°F or below
$14,784 वॉल्यूम
No
38-39°F
$1,923 वॉल्यूम
No
40-41°F
$31,987 वॉल्यूम
No
42-43°F
$970 वॉल्यूम
No
44-45°F
$2,219 वॉल्यूम
No
46-47°F
$1,888 वॉल्यूम
No
48-49°F
$6,862 वॉल्यूम
Yes
50-51°F
$1,004 वॉल्यूम
No
52-53°F
$694 वॉल्यूम
No
54-55°F
$717 वॉल्यूम
No
56°F or higher
$1,899 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations from the Central Park station—the official source for New York City climate records—confirm the minimum temperature on May 1, 2026, reached 48-49°F, locking in trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for that outcome as preliminary daily reports finalized yesterday. This positioning reflects a cool upper-level trough lingering from late April, which suppressed temperatures below the early-May climatological normal of 51°F amid light winds and partial cloud cover overnight, consistent with NOAA model guidance in the preceding 48 hours. Historical May 1 lows average around 50°F with variability from urban heat island effects; realistic challenges to resolution would require rare NWS data corrections for sensor anomalies, though final CLI summaries typically affirm initial readings. Traders await no major updates, as the market nears closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$64,947समाप्ति तिथि
1 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ETपरिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations from the Central Park station—the official source for New York City climate records—confirm the minimum temperature on May 1, 2026, reached 48-49°F, locking in trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for that outcome as preliminary daily reports finalized yesterday. This positioning reflects a cool upper-level trough lingering from late April, which suppressed temperatures below the early-May climatological normal of 51°F amid light winds and partial cloud cover overnight, consistent with NOAA model guidance in the preceding 48 hours. Historical May 1 lows average around 50°F with variability from urban heat island effects; realistic challenges to resolution would require rare NWS data corrections for sensor anomalies, though final CLI summaries typically affirm initial readings. Traders await no major updates, as the market nears closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$64,947समाप्ति तिथि
1 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ETपरिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
National Weather Service observations from the Central Park station—the official source for New York City climate records—confirm the minimum temperature on May 1, 2026, reached 48-49°F, locking in trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for that outcome as preliminary daily reports finalized yesterday. This positioning reflects a cool upper-level trough lingering from late April, which suppressed temperatures below the early-May climatological normal of 51°F amid light winds and partial cloud cover overnight, consistent with NOAA model guidance in the preceding 48 hours. Historical May 1 lows average around 50°F with variability from urban heat island effects; realistic challenges to resolution would require rare NWS data corrections for sensor anomalies, though final CLI summaries typically affirm initial readings. Traders await no major updates, as the market nears closure.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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