Official National Weather Service observations from New York City Central Park station confirm the lowest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached exactly 50°F during the early morning hours, solidifying trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for the 50-51°F bin. This aligns with pre-event guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensemble models, which forecasted overnight lows in the upper 40s to low 50s amid light winds, partly cloudy skies, and the urban heat island effect that typically elevates Central Park minima 3-5°F above rural areas—near the climatological May 2 average of 51°F. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-preliminary data revision due to sensor calibration issues, but final NWS daily climatological reports rarely alter verified hourly measurements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाLowest temperature in NYC on May 2?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 2?
50-51°F 100.0%
39°F or below <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$30,869 वॉल्यूम
$30,869 वॉल्यूम
2 मई, 2026
39°F or below
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
Yes
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58°F or higher
No
50-51°F 100.0%
39°F or below <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$30,869 वॉल्यूम
$30,869 वॉल्यूम
2 मई, 2026
39°F or below
$6,903 वॉल्यूम
No
40-41°F
$1,170 वॉल्यूम
No
42-43°F
$1,759 वॉल्यूम
No
44-45°F
$1,062 वॉल्यूम
No
46-47°F
$1,370 वॉल्यूम
No
48-49°F
$4,626 वॉल्यूम
No
50-51°F
$5,161 वॉल्यूम
Yes
52-53°F
$3,784 वॉल्यूम
No
54-55°F
$846 वॉल्यूम
No
56-57°F
$1,096 वॉल्यूम
No
58°F or higher
$3,093 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from New York City Central Park station confirm the lowest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached exactly 50°F during the early morning hours, solidifying trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for the 50-51°F bin. This aligns with pre-event guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensemble models, which forecasted overnight lows in the upper 40s to low 50s amid light winds, partly cloudy skies, and the urban heat island effect that typically elevates Central Park minima 3-5°F above rural areas—near the climatological May 2 average of 51°F. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-preliminary data revision due to sensor calibration issues, but final NWS daily climatological reports rarely alter verified hourly measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$30,869समाप्ति तिथि
2 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETपरिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from New York City Central Park station confirm the lowest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached exactly 50°F during the early morning hours, solidifying trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for the 50-51°F bin. This aligns with pre-event guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensemble models, which forecasted overnight lows in the upper 40s to low 50s amid light winds, partly cloudy skies, and the urban heat island effect that typically elevates Central Park minima 3-5°F above rural areas—near the climatological May 2 average of 51°F. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-preliminary data revision due to sensor calibration issues, but final NWS daily climatological reports rarely alter verified hourly measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$30,869समाप्ति तिथि
2 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETपरिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Official National Weather Service observations from New York City Central Park station confirm the lowest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached exactly 50°F during the early morning hours, solidifying trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for the 50-51°F bin. This aligns with pre-event guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensemble models, which forecasted overnight lows in the upper 40s to low 50s amid light winds, partly cloudy skies, and the urban heat island effect that typically elevates Central Park minima 3-5°F above rural areas—near the climatological May 2 average of 51°F. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-preliminary data revision due to sensor calibration issues, but final NWS daily climatological reports rarely alter verified hourly measurements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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