The National Weather Service's official observation at Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City—recorded a daily minimum temperature of 56-57°F on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets resolved post-measurement. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast model runs, including the GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which projected mid-50s lows amid a shift to cooler, rainy conditions following near-record warmth on May 5 (highs near 82°F) and persistent southerly flow. Early May climatology supports this, with 30-year normals around 53-57°F for overnight minima. Scenarios challenging resolution are exceedingly rare, such as post hoc quality control revisions by NWS for sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show near-zero incidence for settled daily records. Traders await no further updates, as the market nears closure.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 मई को NYC में सबसे कम तापमान?
6 मई को NYC में सबसे कम तापमान?
56-57°F 100.0%
51°F या उससे नीचे <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$87,308 वॉल्यूम
$87,308 वॉल्यूम
6 मई, 2026
51°F या उससे नीचे
नहीं
52-53°F
नहीं
54-55°F
नहीं
56-57°F
हाँ
58-59°F
नहीं
60-61°F
नहीं
62-63°F
नहीं
64-65°F
नहीं
66-67°F
नहीं
68-69°F
नहीं
70°F या अधिक
नहीं
56-57°F 100.0%
51°F या उससे नीचे <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$87,308 वॉल्यूम
$87,308 वॉल्यूम
6 मई, 2026
51°F या उससे नीचे
$9,321 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
52-53°F
$5,209 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
54-55°F
$6,211 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
56-57°F
$19,669 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
58-59°F
$32,184 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
60-61°F
$2,015 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
62-63°F
$1,172 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
64-65°F
$3,042 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
66-67°F
$2,730 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
68-69°F
$2,452 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
70°F या अधिक
$3,304 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's official observation at Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City—recorded a daily minimum temperature of 56-57°F on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets resolved post-measurement. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast model runs, including the GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which projected mid-50s lows amid a shift to cooler, rainy conditions following near-record warmth on May 5 (highs near 82°F) and persistent southerly flow. Early May climatology supports this, with 30-year normals around 53-57°F for overnight minima. Scenarios challenging resolution are exceedingly rare, such as post hoc quality control revisions by NWS for sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show near-zero incidence for settled daily records. Traders await no further updates, as the market nears closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$87,308समाप्ति तिथि
6 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETपरिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's official observation at Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City—recorded a daily minimum temperature of 56-57°F on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets resolved post-measurement. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast model runs, including the GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which projected mid-50s lows amid a shift to cooler, rainy conditions following near-record warmth on May 5 (highs near 82°F) and persistent southerly flow. Early May climatology supports this, with 30-year normals around 53-57°F for overnight minima. Scenarios challenging resolution are exceedingly rare, such as post hoc quality control revisions by NWS for sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show near-zero incidence for settled daily records. Traders await no further updates, as the market nears closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$87,308समाप्ति तिथि
6 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETपरिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
The National Weather Service's official observation at Central Park—the authoritative station for New York City—recorded a daily minimum temperature of 56-57°F on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets resolved post-measurement. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast model runs, including the GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which projected mid-50s lows amid a shift to cooler, rainy conditions following near-record warmth on May 5 (highs near 82°F) and persistent southerly flow. Early May climatology supports this, with 30-year normals around 53-57°F for overnight minima. Scenarios challenging resolution are exceedingly rare, such as post hoc quality control revisions by NWS for sensor anomalies, though historical precedents show near-zero incidence for settled daily records. Traders await no further updates, as the market nears closure.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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