The market-implied probability above 99% for a 15°C low stems from official Météo-France guidance projecting a minimum temperature of 15°C in Paris on June 4, aligning closely with early June climatology where average overnight lows hover near 14°C. A passing perturbation bringing scattered showers and below-normal maxima elsewhere in France has not triggered the stronger cooling needed for lower readings in the Paris basin, where steering patterns and surface conditions favor this stable range. Model consensus remains tight, with limited scope for revision before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाLowest temperature in Paris on June 4?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 4?
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$15,223 वॉल्यूम
$15,223 वॉल्यूम
4 जून, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$15,223 वॉल्यूम
$15,223 वॉल्यूम
4 जून, 2026
7°C or below
$1,408 वॉल्यूम
No
8°C
$273 वॉल्यूम
No
9°C
$430 वॉल्यूम
No
10°C
$416 वॉल्यूम
No
11°C
$1,110 वॉल्यूम
No
12°C
$659 वॉल्यूम
No
13°C
$1,120 वॉल्यूम
No
14°C
$1,206 वॉल्यूम
No
15°C
$856 वॉल्यूम
Yes
16°C
$1,358 वॉल्यूम
No
17°C or higher
$6,387 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied probability above 99% for a 15°C low stems from official Météo-France guidance projecting a minimum temperature of 15°C in Paris on June 4, aligning closely with early June climatology where average overnight lows hover near 14°C. A passing perturbation bringing scattered showers and below-normal maxima elsewhere in France has not triggered the stronger cooling needed for lower readings in the Paris basin, where steering patterns and surface conditions favor this stable range. Model consensus remains tight, with limited scope for revision before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 2, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$15,223समाप्ति तिथि
4 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 2, 2026, 12:35 AM ETपरिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied probability above 99% for a 15°C low stems from official Météo-France guidance projecting a minimum temperature of 15°C in Paris on June 4, aligning closely with early June climatology where average overnight lows hover near 14°C. A passing perturbation bringing scattered showers and below-normal maxima elsewhere in France has not triggered the stronger cooling needed for lower readings in the Paris basin, where steering patterns and surface conditions favor this stable range. Model consensus remains tight, with limited scope for revision before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$15,223समाप्ति तिथि
4 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 2, 2026, 12:35 AM ETपरिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
The market-implied probability above 99% for a 15°C low stems from official Météo-France guidance projecting a minimum temperature of 15°C in Paris on June 4, aligning closely with early June climatology where average overnight lows hover near 14°C. A passing perturbation bringing scattered showers and below-normal maxima elsewhere in France has not triggered the stronger cooling needed for lower readings in the Paris basin, where steering patterns and surface conditions favor this stable range. Model consensus remains tight, with limited scope for revision before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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