Recent forecasts from models like GFS indicate clear skies and light northwest winds over Paris on September 12, 2026, supporting radiative cooling overnight under high pressure and positioning the minimum near 13°C. This aligns with the 73.5% market-implied probability for 13°C as the leading outcome, consistent with climatological September lows averaging 11.8°C while avoiding cooler anomalies seen in some historical years. Traders appear to weigh the absence of incoming fronts or cloud cover against modest model spreads that could allow a 12°C reading if cooling intensifies slightly before dawn. Upcoming hourly observations from Météo-France will refine resolution criteria for the exact daily minimum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 सितंबर को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
12 सितंबर को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
12°C 68%
13°C 62%
11°C 3%
10°C 2.4%
$11,435 वॉल्यूम
$11,435 वॉल्यूम
12 सित, 2026
8°C या उससे कम
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
3%
12°C
67%
13°C
74%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
12°C 68%
13°C 62%
11°C 3%
10°C 2.4%
$11,435 वॉल्यूम
$11,435 वॉल्यूम
12 सित, 2026
8°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
9°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
10°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
11°C
$1,169 वॉल्यूम
3%
12°C
$2,166 वॉल्यूम
67%
13°C
$5,324 वॉल्यूम
74%
14°C
$2,492 वॉल्यूम
<1%
15°C
$234 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C
$35 वॉल्यूम
<1%
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C या उससे अधिक
$15 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like GFS indicate clear skies and light northwest winds over Paris on September 12, 2026, supporting radiative cooling overnight under high pressure and positioning the minimum near 13°C. This aligns with the 73.5% market-implied probability for 13°C as the leading outcome, consistent with climatological September lows averaging 11.8°C while avoiding cooler anomalies seen in some historical years. Traders appear to weigh the absence of incoming fronts or cloud cover against modest model spreads that could allow a 12°C reading if cooling intensifies slightly before dawn. Upcoming hourly observations from Météo-France will refine resolution criteria for the exact daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,435समाप्ति तिथि
12 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like GFS indicate clear skies and light northwest winds over Paris on September 12, 2026, supporting radiative cooling overnight under high pressure and positioning the minimum near 13°C. This aligns with the 73.5% market-implied probability for 13°C as the leading outcome, consistent with climatological September lows averaging 11.8°C while avoiding cooler anomalies seen in some historical years. Traders appear to weigh the absence of incoming fronts or cloud cover against modest model spreads that could allow a 12°C reading if cooling intensifies slightly before dawn. Upcoming hourly observations from Météo-France will refine resolution criteria for the exact daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$11,435समाप्ति तिथि
12 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models like GFS indicate clear skies and light northwest winds over Paris on September 12, 2026, supporting radiative cooling overnight under high pressure and positioning the minimum near 13°C. This aligns with the 73.5% market-implied probability for 13°C as the leading outcome, consistent with climatological September lows averaging 11.8°C while avoiding cooler anomalies seen in some historical years. Traders appear to weigh the absence of incoming fronts or cloud cover against modest model spreads that could allow a 12°C reading if cooling intensifies slightly before dawn. Upcoming hourly observations from Météo-France will refine resolution criteria for the exact daily minimum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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