Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 17°C in Tokyo on May 3, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observational data confirming an early-morning minimum of 17°C at key stations amid a stable high-pressure system. Partly cloudy skies, light winds around 5-10 km/h, and urban heat island effects have prevented further radiational cooling, with afternoon temperatures climbing to 23°C. This aligns with above-normal May patterns, where historical daily minima average 14-15°C but current model ensembles from JMA and global forecasts like ECMWF show consensus for mild overnight conditions. Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-evening cold air advection or station-specific measurement anomaly, though diurnal heating and proximity to resolution make shifts improbable; final JMA daily summary expected soon.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 मई को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
3 मई को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
17°C 100.0%
12°C या उससे कम <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$25,648 वॉल्यूम
$25,648 वॉल्यूम
3 मई, 2026
12°C या उससे कम
नहीं
13°C
नहीं
14°C
नहीं
15°C
नहीं
16°C
नहीं
17°C
हाँ
18°C
नहीं
19°C
नहीं
20°C
नहीं
21°C
नहीं
22°C या अधिक
नहीं
17°C 100.0%
12°C या उससे कम <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$25,648 वॉल्यूम
$25,648 वॉल्यूम
3 मई, 2026
12°C या उससे कम
$2,053 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
13°C
$714 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
14°C
$6,119 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
15°C
$4,006 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
16°C
$2,433 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
17°C
$6,838 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
18°C
$874 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
19°C
$693 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
20°C
$1,002 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
21°C
$328 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
22°C या अधिक
$588 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 17°C in Tokyo on May 3, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observational data confirming an early-morning minimum of 17°C at key stations amid a stable high-pressure system. Partly cloudy skies, light winds around 5-10 km/h, and urban heat island effects have prevented further radiational cooling, with afternoon temperatures climbing to 23°C. This aligns with above-normal May patterns, where historical daily minima average 14-15°C but current model ensembles from JMA and global forecasts like ECMWF show consensus for mild overnight conditions. Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-evening cold air advection or station-specific measurement anomaly, though diurnal heating and proximity to resolution make shifts improbable; final JMA daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$25,648समाप्ति तिथि
3 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 17°C in Tokyo on May 3, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observational data confirming an early-morning minimum of 17°C at key stations amid a stable high-pressure system. Partly cloudy skies, light winds around 5-10 km/h, and urban heat island effects have prevented further radiational cooling, with afternoon temperatures climbing to 23°C. This aligns with above-normal May patterns, where historical daily minima average 14-15°C but current model ensembles from JMA and global forecasts like ECMWF show consensus for mild overnight conditions. Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-evening cold air advection or station-specific measurement anomaly, though diurnal heating and proximity to resolution make shifts improbable; final JMA daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$25,648समाप्ति तिथि
3 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 17°C in Tokyo on May 3, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observational data confirming an early-morning minimum of 17°C at key stations amid a stable high-pressure system. Partly cloudy skies, light winds around 5-10 km/h, and urban heat island effects have prevented further radiational cooling, with afternoon temperatures climbing to 23°C. This aligns with above-normal May patterns, where historical daily minima average 14-15°C but current model ensembles from JMA and global forecasts like ECMWF show consensus for mild overnight conditions. Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-evening cold air advection or station-specific measurement anomaly, though diurnal heating and proximity to resolution make shifts improbable; final JMA daily summary expected soon.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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