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मोदी 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक बाहर हो जाएंगे?

Market icon

मोदी 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक बाहर हो जाएंगे?

दिस 31

दिस 31

हाँ

8% संभावना
Polymarket

$20,632 वॉल्यूम

हाँ

8% संभावना
Polymarket

$20,632 वॉल्यूम

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition's sustained stability since securing a Lok Sabha majority in the 2024 general election underpins trader consensus pricing "No" at 92.2% for Prime Minister Narendra Modi exiting office by December 31, 2026. No recent legislative defeats, no-confidence motions, or key ally withdrawals—such as from TDP or JD(U)—have materialized in the past 30 days, with Modi actively addressing Parliament on April 17, 2026, including women's reservation implementation tied to delimitation. Opposition claims, like Arvind Kejriwal's March 23 speculation of an early end to Modi's tenure, reflect partisan rhetoric without evidence. Structural factors favor continuity through the term ending in 2029, barring unforeseen health issues, scandals, or snap election triggers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$20,632
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition's sustained stability since securing a Lok Sabha majority in the 2024 general election underpins trader consensus pricing "No" at 92.2% for Prime Minister Narendra Modi exiting office by December 31, 2026. No recent legislative defeats, no-confidence motions, or key ally withdrawals—such as from TDP or JD(U)—have materialized in the past 30 days, with Modi actively addressing Parliament on April 17, 2026, including women's reservation implementation tied to delimitation. Opposition claims, like Arvind Kejriwal's March 23 speculation of an early end to Modi's tenure, reflect partisan rhetoric without evidence. Structural factors favor continuity through the term ending in 2029, barring unforeseen health issues, scandals, or snap election triggers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$20,632
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"मोदी 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक बाहर हो जाएंगे?" Polymarket पर 2 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, क्या मोदी 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक बाहर हो जाएंगे? 8% (8¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है।

आज तक, "मोदी 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक बाहर हो जाएंगे?" ने कुल $20.6K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Nov 13, 2025 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"मोदी 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक बाहर हो जाएंगे?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 2 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

यह एक खुला बाज़ार है। "मोदी 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक बाहर हो जाएंगे?" के लिए वर्तमान अग्रणी "क्या मोदी 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक बाहर हो जाएंगे?" केवल 8% पर है। किसी भी परिणाम के पास मज़बूत बहुमत नहीं होने से, ट्रेडर इसे अत्यधिक अनिश्चित मानते हैं।

"मोदी 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक बाहर हो जाएंगे?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।