Oklahoma City Thunder lead trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability for Western Conference champion after clinching the No. 1 seed with a dominant 64-18 regular-season record, securing home-court advantage throughout the playoffs starting April 18. San Antonio Spurs sit at 21.1% following their franchise-best 62-20 campaign driven by Victor Wembanyama's breakout, though a final-game loss to Denver—amid reported load management for their star—dropped them to No. 2 seed. Nuggets hold 11.5% with fresh momentum from a 12-game win streak capped by Nikola Jokic's 23 first-half points in a 128-118 victory over San Antonio on April 13, locking the No. 3 seed versus Minnesota. Lower seeds like Houston and Lakers trail amid Luka Doncic's hamstring injury sidelining him for L.A.'s postseason push.