Persistent delays in Google's Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model drive the market's 32.5% probability of no release by September 30, reflecting repeated slips from the May 2026 I/O promise of a June rollout. Internal performance shortfalls, confirmed in July reporting, have kept the flagship in testing while lighter variants like 3.5 Flash shipped on July 21; the current production model remains 3.1 Pro. With no confirmed timeline or upcoming developer events, traders price dispersed September dates at 7-11.5% each to capture the wide uncertainty around when Google might meet its agentic and coding benchmarks for a Pro-tier release.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 सितंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं 32%
9 सितम्बर 20%
22 सितंबर 11%
24 सितंबर 11%
नया
नया
1 सित, 2026
1 सितंबर, 2026 को या उससे पहले
1%
2 सितम्बर
11%
3 सितंबर
7%
4 सितंबर
10%
5 सितंबर
11%
6 सितंबर
9%
7 सितंबर
11%
8 सितंबर
10%
9 सितम्बर
20%
10 सितंबर
1%
11 सितंबर
10%
12 सितंबर
11%
13 सितंबर
1%
14 सितंबर
10%
15 सितंबर
10%
16 सितम्बर
10%
17 सितंबर
9%
18 सितंबर
8%
19 सितंबर
8%
20 सितंबर
11%
21 सितंबर
10%
22 सितंबर
11%
23 सितंबर
9%
24 सितंबर
11%
25 सितम्बर
9%
26 सितंबर
7%
27 सितंबर
9%
28 सितंबर
10%
29 सितंबर
10%
30 सितंबर
11%
30 सितंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं
32%
30 सितंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं 32%
9 सितम्बर 20%
22 सितंबर 11%
24 सितंबर 11%
नया
नया
1 सित, 2026
1 सितंबर, 2026 को या उससे पहले
$62 वॉल्यूम
1%
2 सितम्बर
$58 वॉल्यूम
11%
3 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
7%
4 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
10%
5 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
11%
6 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
9%
7 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
11%
8 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
10%
9 सितम्बर
$58 वॉल्यूम
20%
10 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
1%
11 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
10%
12 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
11%
13 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
1%
14 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
10%
15 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
10%
16 सितम्बर
$58 वॉल्यूम
10%
17 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
9%
18 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
8%
19 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
8%
20 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
11%
21 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
10%
22 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
11%
23 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
9%
24 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
11%
25 सितम्बर
$58 वॉल्यूम
9%
26 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
7%
27 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
9%
28 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
10%
29 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
10%
30 सितंबर
$58 वॉल्यूम
11%
30 सितंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं
$94 वॉल्यूम
32%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Persistent delays in Google's Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model drive the market's 32.5% probability of no release by September 30, reflecting repeated slips from the May 2026 I/O promise of a June rollout. Internal performance shortfalls, confirmed in July reporting, have kept the flagship in testing while lighter variants like 3.5 Flash shipped on July 21; the current production model remains 3.1 Pro. With no confirmed timeline or upcoming developer events, traders price dispersed September dates at 7-11.5% each to capture the wide uncertainty around when Google might meet its agentic and coding benchmarks for a Pro-tier release.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,842समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Persistent delays in Google's Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model drive the market's 32.5% probability of no release by September 30, reflecting repeated slips from the May 2026 I/O promise of a June rollout. Internal performance shortfalls, confirmed in July reporting, have kept the flagship in testing while lighter variants like 3.5 Flash shipped on July 21; the current production model remains 3.1 Pro. With no confirmed timeline or upcoming developer events, traders price dispersed September dates at 7-11.5% each to capture the wide uncertainty around when Google might meet its agentic and coding benchmarks for a Pro-tier release.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$1,842समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent delays in Google's Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model drive the market's 32.5% probability of no release by September 30, reflecting repeated slips from the May 2026 I/O promise of a June rollout. Internal performance shortfalls, confirmed in July reporting, have kept the flagship in testing while lighter variants like 3.5 Flash shipped on July 21; the current production model remains 3.1 Pro. With no confirmed timeline or upcoming developer events, traders price dispersed September dates at 7-11.5% each to capture the wide uncertainty around when Google might meet its agentic and coding benchmarks for a Pro-tier release.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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