Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, leads recent polls with 32% support in the Center for Analysis and Marketing (CAM) survey projecting 90 seats and similar in the CAR poll, reflecting trader consensus on 85-89 seats at 27% implied probability in Bulgaria's proportional representation system for the 240-seat National Assembly. The race remains tight due to a fragmented field—GERB-SDS at 19%, PP-DB at 12%, DPS at 11%—diluting PB's share short of a majority amid historical low turnout and eighth snap election since 2021 triggered by the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation. Final days before April 19 voting could see shifts from turnout surges, late endorsements, or scandals, with polls varying 28-34% keeping 95+ seats viable at 23.5%.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया# बल्गेरियाई संसदीय चुनाव में PB द्वारा जीती गई सीटों में से?
# बल्गेरियाई संसदीय चुनाव में PB द्वारा जीती गई सीटों में से?
85-89 29%
95+ 24%
90-94 18%
80-84 15%
$44,889 वॉल्यूम
$44,889 वॉल्यूम
19 अप्रैल, 2026
<75
7%
75-79
8%
80-84
15%
85-89
29%
90-94
18%
95+
24%
85-89 29%
95+ 24%
90-94 18%
80-84 15%
$44,889 वॉल्यूम
$44,889 वॉल्यूम
19 अप्रैल, 2026
<75
$999 वॉल्यूम
7%
75-79
$1,473 वॉल्यूम
8%
80-84
$9,180 वॉल्यूम
15%
85-89
$8,558 वॉल्यूम
29%
90-94
$6,757 वॉल्यूम
18%
95+
$17,923 वॉल्यूम
24%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, leads recent polls with 32% support in the Center for Analysis and Marketing (CAM) survey projecting 90 seats and similar in the CAR poll, reflecting trader consensus on 85-89 seats at 27% implied probability in Bulgaria's proportional representation system for the 240-seat National Assembly. The race remains tight due to a fragmented field—GERB-SDS at 19%, PP-DB at 12%, DPS at 11%—diluting PB's share short of a majority amid historical low turnout and eighth snap election since 2021 triggered by the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation. Final days before April 19 voting could see shifts from turnout surges, late endorsements, or scandals, with polls varying 28-34% keeping 95+ seats viable at 23.5%.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$44,889समाप्ति तिथि
19 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, leads recent polls with 32% support in the Center for Analysis and Marketing (CAM) survey projecting 90 seats and similar in the CAR poll, reflecting trader consensus on 85-89 seats at 27% implied probability in Bulgaria's proportional representation system for the 240-seat National Assembly. The race remains tight due to a fragmented field—GERB-SDS at 19%, PP-DB at 12%, DPS at 11%—diluting PB's share short of a majority amid historical low turnout and eighth snap election since 2021 triggered by the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation. Final days before April 19 voting could see shifts from turnout surges, late endorsements, or scandals, with polls varying 28-34% keeping 95+ seats viable at 23.5%.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Progressive Bulgaria (PB) in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
वॉल्यूम
$44,889समाप्ति तिथि
19 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 27, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, leads recent polls with 32% support in the Center for Analysis and Marketing (CAM) survey projecting 90 seats and similar in the CAR poll, reflecting trader consensus on 85-89 seats at 27% implied probability in Bulgaria's proportional representation system for the 240-seat National Assembly. The race remains tight due to a fragmented field—GERB-SDS at 19%, PP-DB at 12%, DPS at 11%—diluting PB's share short of a majority amid historical low turnout and eighth snap election since 2021 triggered by the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation. Final days before April 19 voting could see shifts from turnout surges, late endorsements, or scandals, with polls varying 28-34% keeping 95+ seats viable at 23.5%.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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