OpenAI’s September 1 blog post confirming that Astra, its next major large language model, has reached the company’s first “critical” cybersecurity capability threshold under the Preparedness Framework is the main driver behind the market’s heavy weighting toward an early-September release. The post stated that Astra can identify and exploit zero-day vulnerabilities without step-by-step human guidance, prompting additional safeguards and a temporary development pause after the July Hugging Face incident; OpenAI explicitly said it plans to make the model “available soon” with restricted advanced cyber features for select testers via Daybreak Blue. This official language, paired with resumed training workloads and benchmark outperformance versus GPT-5.6 Sol, has shifted trader consensus toward an imminent launch while leaving room for last-minute safety reviews or limited initial access that could push the date slightly later within September.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 सितंबर 40.3%
30 सितंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं 9%
2 सितंबर, 2026 तक या उससे पहले 8.0%
13 सितंबर 5%
$21,338 वॉल्यूम
$21,338 वॉल्यूम
2 सितंबर, 2026 तक या उससे पहले
26%
3 सितंबर
40%
4 सितंबर
2%
5 सितंबर
2%
6 सितंबर
2%
7 सितम्बर
3%
8 सितंबर
3%
9 सितंबर
2%
10 सितंबर
2%
11 सितंबर
1%
12 सितंबर
1%
13 सितंबर
5%
14 सितंबर
1%
15 सितंबर
1%
16 सितंबर
1%
17 सितंबर
1%
18 सितंबर
1%
19 सितंबर
1%
20 सितंबर
1%
21 सितंबर
2%
22 सितंबर
1%
23 सितंबर
2%
24 सितंबर
2%
25 सितंबर
3%
26 सितंबर
2%
27 सितंबर
4%
28 सितंबर
3%
29 सितंबर
1%
30 सितंबर
1%
30 सितंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं
9%
3 सितंबर 40.3%
30 सितंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं 9%
2 सितंबर, 2026 तक या उससे पहले 8.0%
13 सितंबर 5%
$21,338 वॉल्यूम
$21,338 वॉल्यूम
2 सितंबर, 2026 तक या उससे पहले
26%
3 सितंबर
40%
4 सितंबर
2%
5 सितंबर
2%
6 सितंबर
2%
7 सितम्बर
3%
8 सितंबर
3%
9 सितंबर
2%
10 सितंबर
2%
11 सितंबर
1%
12 सितंबर
1%
13 सितंबर
5%
14 सितंबर
1%
15 सितंबर
1%
16 सितंबर
1%
17 सितंबर
1%
18 सितंबर
1%
19 सितंबर
1%
20 सितंबर
1%
21 सितंबर
2%
22 सितंबर
1%
23 सितंबर
2%
24 सितंबर
2%
25 सितंबर
3%
26 सितंबर
2%
27 सितंबर
4%
28 सितंबर
3%
29 सितंबर
1%
30 सितंबर
1%
30 सितंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं
9%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s September 1 blog post confirming that Astra, its next major large language model, has reached the company’s first “critical” cybersecurity capability threshold under the Preparedness Framework is the main driver behind the market’s heavy weighting toward an early-September release. The post stated that Astra can identify and exploit zero-day vulnerabilities without step-by-step human guidance, prompting additional safeguards and a temporary development pause after the July Hugging Face incident; OpenAI explicitly said it plans to make the model “available soon” with restricted advanced cyber features for select testers via Daybreak Blue. This official language, paired with resumed training workloads and benchmark outperformance versus GPT-5.6 Sol, has shifted trader consensus toward an imminent launch while leaving room for last-minute safety reviews or limited initial access that could push the date slightly later within September.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न