With only 60mm of rainfall accumulated at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 13—driven mainly by a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders favor sub-130mm totals at 32.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 130-140mm at 27%, reflecting a dry start below historical April averages near 150mm. This tight race midway through the month stems from contrasting signals: recent persistent dry easterlies versus Hong Kong Observatory seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal precipitation for April-June amid rainy season onset. Separation could arise from heavy showers or trough-induced rain bands in the remaining two weeks pushing toward 150mm+, or continued suppression by high-pressure systems locking in lower outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPrecipitation in Hong Kong in April?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in April?
<130mm 34%
130-140mm 27%
140-150mm 16%
150-160mm 16%
$28,497 वॉल्यूम
$28,497 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
<130mm
34%
130-140mm
27%
140-150mm
22%
150-160mm
16%
160-170mm
4%
190-200mm
2%
180-190
1%
190mm+
9%
<130mm 34%
130-140mm 27%
140-150mm 16%
150-160mm 16%
$28,497 वॉल्यूम
$28,497 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
<130mm
$13,157 वॉल्यूम
34%
130-140mm
$5,191 वॉल्यूम
27%
140-150mm
$5,687 वॉल्यूम
22%
150-160mm
$3,218 वॉल्यूम
16%
160-170mm
$247 वॉल्यूम
4%
190-200mm
$199 वॉल्यूम
2%
180-190
$211 वॉल्यूम
1%
190mm+
$658 वॉल्यूम
9%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With only 60mm of rainfall accumulated at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 13—driven mainly by a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders favor sub-130mm totals at 32.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 130-140mm at 27%, reflecting a dry start below historical April averages near 150mm. This tight race midway through the month stems from contrasting signals: recent persistent dry easterlies versus Hong Kong Observatory seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal precipitation for April-June amid rainy season onset. Separation could arise from heavy showers or trough-induced rain bands in the remaining two weeks pushing toward 150mm+, or continued suppression by high-pressure systems locking in lower outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28,497समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With only 60mm of rainfall accumulated at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 13—driven mainly by a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders favor sub-130mm totals at 32.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 130-140mm at 27%, reflecting a dry start below historical April averages near 150mm. This tight race midway through the month stems from contrasting signals: recent persistent dry easterlies versus Hong Kong Observatory seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal precipitation for April-June amid rainy season onset. Separation could arise from heavy showers or trough-induced rain bands in the remaining two weeks pushing toward 150mm+, or continued suppression by high-pressure systems locking in lower outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$28,497समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With only 60mm of rainfall accumulated at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 13—driven mainly by a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders favor sub-130mm totals at 32.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 130-140mm at 27%, reflecting a dry start below historical April averages near 150mm. This tight race midway through the month stems from contrasting signals: recent persistent dry easterlies versus Hong Kong Observatory seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal precipitation for April-June amid rainy season onset. Separation could arise from heavy showers or trough-induced rain bands in the remaining two weeks pushing toward 150mm+, or continued suppression by high-pressure systems locking in lower outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न