Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 44% probability for under 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April 2026, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations of exceptionally dry conditions through mid-month, with recent one-month accumulations below climatological norms amid persistent high-pressure systems and low humidity. Historical April averages hover around 65mm, typically from scattered spring showers during cherry blossom season, but this year's subdued moisture influx—evident in minimal daily rainfall reports and Asian dust episodes—has kept totals low so far. Ensemble forecasts from KMA short-range models show limited precipitation probability (under 30%) for the remaining days, though sudden low-pressure developments could boost totals toward 65-70mm (15% implied odds); daily KMA updates through April 30 will refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअप्रैल में सियोल में वर्षा?
अप्रैल में सियोल में वर्षा?
<40मिमी 59%
65-70 मिमी 16%
45-50 मिमी 7.8%
55-60 मिमी 8%
$16,660 वॉल्यूम
$16,660 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
<40मिमी
44%
40-45 मिमी
12%
45-50 मिमी
8%
50-55 मिमी
10%
55-60 मिमी
8%
60-65 मिमी
5%
65-70 मिमी
16%
70-75 मिमी
2%
75 मिमी+
9%
<40मिमी 59%
65-70 मिमी 16%
45-50 मिमी 7.8%
55-60 मिमी 8%
$16,660 वॉल्यूम
$16,660 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
<40मिमी
$10,637 वॉल्यूम
44%
40-45 मिमी
$250 वॉल्यूम
12%
45-50 मिमी
$255 वॉल्यूम
8%
50-55 मिमी
$1,694 वॉल्यूम
10%
55-60 मिमी
$2,352 वॉल्यूम
8%
60-65 मिमी
$182 वॉल्यूम
5%
65-70 मिमी
$393 वॉल्यूम
16%
70-75 मिमी
$211 वॉल्यूम
2%
75 मिमी+
$688 वॉल्यूम
9%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 44% probability for under 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April 2026, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations of exceptionally dry conditions through mid-month, with recent one-month accumulations below climatological norms amid persistent high-pressure systems and low humidity. Historical April averages hover around 65mm, typically from scattered spring showers during cherry blossom season, but this year's subdued moisture influx—evident in minimal daily rainfall reports and Asian dust episodes—has kept totals low so far. Ensemble forecasts from KMA short-range models show limited precipitation probability (under 30%) for the remaining days, though sudden low-pressure developments could boost totals toward 65-70mm (15% implied odds); daily KMA updates through April 30 will refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$16,660समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 44% probability for under 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April 2026, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations of exceptionally dry conditions through mid-month, with recent one-month accumulations below climatological norms amid persistent high-pressure systems and low humidity. Historical April averages hover around 65mm, typically from scattered spring showers during cherry blossom season, but this year's subdued moisture influx—evident in minimal daily rainfall reports and Asian dust episodes—has kept totals low so far. Ensemble forecasts from KMA short-range models show limited precipitation probability (under 30%) for the remaining days, though sudden low-pressure developments could boost totals toward 65-70mm (15% implied odds); daily KMA updates through April 30 will refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$16,660समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 44% probability for under 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April 2026, reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations of exceptionally dry conditions through mid-month, with recent one-month accumulations below climatological norms amid persistent high-pressure systems and low humidity. Historical April averages hover around 65mm, typically from scattered spring showers during cherry blossom season, but this year's subdued moisture influx—evident in minimal daily rainfall reports and Asian dust episodes—has kept totals low so far. Ensemble forecasts from KMA short-range models show limited precipitation probability (under 30%) for the remaining days, though sudden low-pressure developments could boost totals toward 65-70mm (15% implied odds); daily KMA updates through April 30 will refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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