Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91.5% implied probability of no change in the South African Reserve Bank's (SARB) repo rate at the May 28 Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, reflecting the March 26 unanimous decision to hold steady at 6.75% amid balanced inflation risks and global uncertainties. February 2026 CPI hit the 3% target exactly, while March's uptick to 4.1%—driven by fuel and food costs—remains within the 3–6% tolerance band, with SARB's Quarterly Projection Model forecasting rates unchanged longer-term as inflation reverts to target. This strong positioning underscores the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, though hotter April CPI data (due April 22) or rand depreciation could spur a hike, while sharper growth slowdowns might prompt a cut.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाSouth African Reserve Bank Decision in May?
South African Reserve Bank Decision in May?
No Change 92%
Decrease 4.3%
Increase 3.0%
नया
नया
28 मई, 2026
Decrease
4%
No Change
92%
Increase
3%
No Change 92%
Decrease 4.3%
Increase 3.0%
नया
नया
28 मई, 2026
Decrease
$1,284 वॉल्यूम
4%
No Change
$2,373 वॉल्यूम
92%
Increase
$1,590 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91.5% implied probability of no change in the South African Reserve Bank's (SARB) repo rate at the May 28 Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, reflecting the March 26 unanimous decision to hold steady at 6.75% amid balanced inflation risks and global uncertainties. February 2026 CPI hit the 3% target exactly, while March's uptick to 4.1%—driven by fuel and food costs—remains within the 3–6% tolerance band, with SARB's Quarterly Projection Model forecasting rates unchanged longer-term as inflation reverts to target. This strong positioning underscores the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, though hotter April CPI data (due April 22) or rand depreciation could spur a hike, while sharper growth slowdowns might prompt a cut.
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,247समाप्ति तिथि
28 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91.5% implied probability of no change in the South African Reserve Bank's (SARB) repo rate at the May 28 Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, reflecting the March 26 unanimous decision to hold steady at 6.75% amid balanced inflation risks and global uncertainties. February 2026 CPI hit the 3% target exactly, while March's uptick to 4.1%—driven by fuel and food costs—remains within the 3–6% tolerance band, with SARB's Quarterly Projection Model forecasting rates unchanged longer-term as inflation reverts to target. This strong positioning underscores the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, though hotter April CPI data (due April 22) or rand depreciation could spur a hike, while sharper growth slowdowns might prompt a cut.
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$5,247समाप्ति तिथि
28 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91.5% implied probability of no change in the South African Reserve Bank's (SARB) repo rate at the May 28 Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, reflecting the March 26 unanimous decision to hold steady at 6.75% amid balanced inflation risks and global uncertainties. February 2026 CPI hit the 3% target exactly, while March's uptick to 4.1%—driven by fuel and food costs—remains within the 3–6% tolerance band, with SARB's Quarterly Projection Model forecasting rates unchanged longer-term as inflation reverts to target. This strong positioning underscores the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, though hotter April CPI data (due April 22) or rand depreciation could spur a hike, while sharper growth slowdowns might prompt a cut.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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