Trader consensus heavily favors Christian Menefee at 88% implied probability to win the TX-18 Democratic primary runoff on May 26, driven by his incumbency in the district after a February special election victory and recent polling leads, including a New York Times average showing him up 41%-35% over Al Green. Menefee's fundraising momentum—outpacing Green in the latest reports—bolsters his position amid redistricting fallout that pitted the two incumbents against each other following the inconclusive March 3 primary. Green's long tenure since 2004 provides a base, but Menefee's edge in voter surveys and resources in this safely Democratic Houston district shapes the crowded wisdom of Polymarket traders, with minor candidates trailing far behind.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्रिश्चियन मेनेफी 88.0%
अल ग्रीन 9.6%
अमांडा एडवर्ड्स <1%
ग्रेचेन ब्राउन <1%
$22,280 वॉल्यूम
$22,280 वॉल्यूम
क्रिश्चियन मेनेफी
88%
अल ग्रीन
10%
अमांडा एडवर्ड्स
1%
ग्रेचेन ब्राउन
<1%
क्रिश्चियन मेनेफी 88.0%
अल ग्रीन 9.6%
अमांडा एडवर्ड्स <1%
ग्रेचेन ब्राउन <1%
$22,280 वॉल्यूम
$22,280 वॉल्यूम
क्रिश्चियन मेनेफी
88%
अल ग्रीन
10%
अमांडा एडवर्ड्स
1%
ग्रेचेन ब्राउन
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Christian Menefee at 88% implied probability to win the TX-18 Democratic primary runoff on May 26, driven by his incumbency in the district after a February special election victory and recent polling leads, including a New York Times average showing him up 41%-35% over Al Green. Menefee's fundraising momentum—outpacing Green in the latest reports—bolsters his position amid redistricting fallout that pitted the two incumbents against each other following the inconclusive March 3 primary. Green's long tenure since 2004 provides a base, but Menefee's edge in voter surveys and resources in this safely Democratic Houston district shapes the crowded wisdom of Polymarket traders, with minor candidates trailing far behind.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न