Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Venezuela's presidential transition following the U.S. military capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, with Maduro at 50.6% implied probability as head of state by year-end due to ongoing debates over his official recognition by the United Nations and lack of formal vacancy resolution. Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in as interim president and backed by recent U.S. sanctions relief on April 1 plus military reshuffles in March, holds 35% amid her cabinet overhauls and efforts to stabilize the economy, though exceeding her 90-day mandate has sparked protests over wages and pensions last week. Opposition figure María Corina Machado trails at 8% despite plans to return, as U.S. engagement prioritizes Rodríguez over electoral shifts, with no new presidential vote scheduled.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 के अंत में वेनेजुएला के नेता?
2026 के अंत में वेनेजुएला के नेता?
निकोलस मादुरो 50.0%
डेल्सी रोड्रिगेज़ 40%
मारिया कोरीना माचाडो 8%
कोई राष्ट्राध्यक्ष नहीं 1.1%
$82,858,485 वॉल्यूम
$82,858,485 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
निकोलस मादुरो
50%
डेल्सी रोड्रिगेज़
40%
मारिया कोरीना माचाडो
8%
कोई राष्ट्राध्यक्ष नहीं
1%
एडमुण्डो गोंज़ालेज़
<1%
डोनाल्ड ट्रंप
<1%
मार्को रूबियो
<1%
डायोस्डाडो काबेल्लो रोंदोन
<1%
डिनोरा फिगुएरा
<1%
व्लादिमीर पाद्रीनो लोपेज़
<1%
जॉर्ज रोड्रिग्ज
<1%
पीट हेगसेथ
<1%
फ्रैंक डोनोवन
<1%
इवान पेट्टस
<1%
डैन कैन
<1%
रिचर्ड ग्रेनेल
<1%
निकोलस मादुरो 50.0%
डेल्सी रोड्रिगेज़ 40%
मारिया कोरीना माचाडो 8%
कोई राष्ट्राध्यक्ष नहीं 1.1%
$82,858,485 वॉल्यूम
$82,858,485 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
निकोलस मादुरो
$1,079,248 वॉल्यूम
50%
डेल्सी रोड्रिगेज़
$1,429,876 वॉल्यूम
40%
मारिया कोरीना माचाडो
$943,874 वॉल्यूम
8%
कोई राष्ट्राध्यक्ष नहीं
$797,174 वॉल्यूम
1%
एडमुण्डो गोंज़ालेज़
$612,266 वॉल्यूम
<1%
डोनाल्ड ट्रंप
$801,472 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मार्को रूबियो
$698,494 वॉल्यूम
<1%
डायोस्डाडो काबेल्लो रोंदोन
$1,364,291 वॉल्यूम
<1%
डिनोरा फिगुएरा
$2,108,320 वॉल्यूम
<1%
व्लादिमीर पाद्रीनो लोपेज़
$488,540 वॉल्यूम
<1%
जॉर्ज रोड्रिग्ज
$902,467 वॉल्यूम
<1%
पीट हेगसेथ
$8,279,156 वॉल्यूम
<1%
फ्रैंक डोनोवन
$24,825,352 वॉल्यूम
<1%
इवान पेट्टस
$4,403,410 वॉल्यूम
<1%
डैन कैन
$2,422,802 वॉल्यूम
<1%
रिचर्ड ग्रेनेल
$31,712,212 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Venezuela's presidential transition following the U.S. military capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, with Maduro at 50.6% implied probability as head of state by year-end due to ongoing debates over his official recognition by the United Nations and lack of formal vacancy resolution. Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in as interim president and backed by recent U.S. sanctions relief on April 1 plus military reshuffles in March, holds 35% amid her cabinet overhauls and efforts to stabilize the economy, though exceeding her 90-day mandate has sparked protests over wages and pensions last week. Opposition figure María Corina Machado trails at 8% despite plans to return, as U.S. engagement prioritizes Rodríguez over electoral shifts, with no new presidential vote scheduled.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$82,858,485समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Venezuela's presidential transition following the U.S. military capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, with Maduro at 50.6% implied probability as head of state by year-end due to ongoing debates over his official recognition by the United Nations and lack of formal vacancy resolution. Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in as interim president and backed by recent U.S. sanctions relief on April 1 plus military reshuffles in March, holds 35% amid her cabinet overhauls and efforts to stabilize the economy, though exceeding her 90-day mandate has sparked protests over wages and pensions last week. Opposition figure María Corina Machado trails at 8% despite plans to return, as U.S. engagement prioritizes Rodríguez over electoral shifts, with no new presidential vote scheduled.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
वॉल्यूम
$82,858,485समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Venezuela's presidential transition following the U.S. military capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, with Maduro at 50.6% implied probability as head of state by year-end due to ongoing debates over his official recognition by the United Nations and lack of formal vacancy resolution. Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in as interim president and backed by recent U.S. sanctions relief on April 1 plus military reshuffles in March, holds 35% amid her cabinet overhauls and efforts to stabilize the economy, though exceeding her 90-day mandate has sparked protests over wages and pensions last week. Opposition figure María Corina Machado trails at 8% despite plans to return, as U.S. engagement prioritizes Rodríguez over electoral shifts, with no new presidential vote scheduled.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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