A frontal system and associated low-pressure wave moving through the Midwest are driving the strongest market-implied probabilities for measurable rain on September 20, 2026, with National Weather Service and WPC guidance highlighting moderate-to-heavy precipitation totals across northern Illinois, eastern Iowa, and adjacent areas amid elevated precipitable water values. Ensemble models including GFS and ECMWF show continued moisture transport and lift ahead of the boundary, consistent with observed radar trends and short-range QPF outputs favoring 0.5–2+ inches in parts of the Upper Midwest through the day. Secondary signals point to scattered thunderstorms in Florida and the northern High Plains, while the Northeast trends drier behind the departing system. Traders monitor updated HRRR and NAM runs plus NWS local forecasts for any shifts in the rain shield or intensity before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया20 सितंबर को कहाँ बारिश होगी?
न्यूयॉर्क, एनवाई
94%
लॉस एंजिल्स, CA
5%
शिकागो, IL
95%
ह्यूस्टन, TX
5%
डलास, TX
50%
फीनिक्स, एरिज़ोना
7%
फिलाडेल्फिया, पेंसिल्वेनिया
75%
डेनवर, CO
26%
वाशिंगटन, डीसी
48%
अटलांटा, GA
9%
मियामी, FL
81%
सिएटल, WA
5%
बोस्टन, एमए
93%
न्यू ऑरलियन्स, LA
8%
सैन फ्रांसिस्को, CA
7%
$431 वॉल्यूम
न्यूयॉर्क, एनवाई
94%
लॉस एंजिल्स, CA
5%
शिकागो, IL
95%
ह्यूस्टन, TX
5%
डलास, TX
50%
फीनिक्स, एरिज़ोना
7%
फिलाडेल्फिया, पेंसिल्वेनिया
75%
डेनवर, CO
26%
वाशिंगटन, डीसी
48%
अटलांटा, GA
9%
मियामी, FL
81%
सिएटल, WA
5%
बोस्टन, एमए
93%
न्यू ऑरलियन्स, LA
8%
सैन फ्रांसिस्को, CA
7%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 19, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
A frontal system and associated low-pressure wave moving through the Midwest are driving the strongest market-implied probabilities for measurable rain on September 20, 2026, with National Weather Service and WPC guidance highlighting moderate-to-heavy precipitation totals across northern Illinois, eastern Iowa, and adjacent areas amid elevated precipitable water values. Ensemble models including GFS and ECMWF show continued moisture transport and lift ahead of the boundary, consistent with observed radar trends and short-range QPF outputs favoring 0.5–2+ inches in parts of the Upper Midwest through the day. Secondary signals point to scattered thunderstorms in Florida and the northern High Plains, while the Northeast trends drier behind the departing system. Traders monitor updated HRRR and NAM runs plus NWS local forecasts for any shifts in the rain shield or intensity before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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